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A new look at the oil price-exchange rate nexus: Asymmetric evidence from selected OPEC member countries

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  • Baek, Jungho

Abstract

In the present article, we contribute to the literature by applying a nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) method by Shin et al. (2014) to assess whether oil price fluctuations asymmetrically influence real exchange rates for oil-exporting countries, specifically selected six OPEC member countries. We discover that the price of crude oil seems to have an asymmetric effect on real exchange rates for the OPEC members with a floating exchange rate regime in both the long-and short-run. However, there is no evidence of the oil price asymmetry for the OPEC members with a fixed exchange rate regime in the long- and short-run. Thus, we conclude that asymmetry impacts appear to vary depending on the different types of exchange rate regimes in each of OPEC members.

Suggested Citation

  • Baek, Jungho, 2021. "A new look at the oil price-exchange rate nexus: Asymmetric evidence from selected OPEC member countries," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 172-181.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecanpo:v:70:y:2021:i:c:p:172-181
    DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2021.02.008
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    Cited by:

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    7. Zhang, Xiang & Baek, Jungho, 2022. "The role of oil price shocks on exchange rates for the selected Asian countries: Asymmetric evidence from nonlinear ARDL and generalized IRFs approaches," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asymmetry; Oil prices; Exchange rates; NARDL; OPEC;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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