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Unobserved tourism

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  • De Cantis, Stefano
  • Parroco, Anna Maria
  • Ferrante, Mauro
  • Vaccina, Franco

Abstract

Having more reliable statistics is essential for policy-makers to be able to make effective decisions. Nevertheless, measuring the number of tourists in a given destination is not an easy task. After reviewing the main problems affecting official statistics on tourism, this paper proposes a general framework by formalizing a theoretical model in which tourism nights and trips in a given destination are broken down into observed and unobserved components, according to the European system of tourism statistics. The main approaches related to the measurement of unobserved tourism are discussed, and some empirical findings in Sicily (Italy) are presented in order to highlight the actual magnitude of unobserved tourism.

Suggested Citation

  • De Cantis, Stefano & Parroco, Anna Maria & Ferrante, Mauro & Vaccina, Franco, 2015. "Unobserved tourism," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 1-18.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:anture:v:50:y:2015:i:c:p:1-18
    DOI: 10.1016/j.annals.2014.10.002
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Lars P. Feld & Claus Larsen, 2012. "Undeclared Work, Deterrence and Social Norms," Springer Books, Springer, edition 127, number 978-3-540-87401-0, November.
    2. Parroco, Anna Maria & Vaccina, Franco & De Cantis, Stefano & Ferrante, Mauro, 2012. "Multi-destination trips and tourism statistics: Empirical evidences in Sicily," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 6, pages 1-27.
    3. Feige, Edgar L., 1990. "Defining and estimating underground and informal economies: The new institutional economics approach," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 18(7), pages 989-1002, July.
    4. Robert J. Johnston & Timothy J. Tyrrell, 2003. "Estimating Recreational User Counts," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 85(3), pages 554-568.
    5. Backer, Elisa, 2012. "VFR travel: It is underestimated," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 74-79.
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    Cited by:

    1. Furey, Ryan & Merrill, Nathaniel & Sawyer, Joshua Paul & Mulvaney, Kate K. & Mazzotta, Marisa J., 2021. "A novel approach to evaluating water quality impacts on visitation to coastal recreation areas on Cape Cod using data derived from cell phone locations," SocArXiv 56fk8, Center for Open Science.
    2. Parroco, Anna Maria & Vaccina, Franco & De Cantis, Stefano & Ferrante, Mauro, 2012. "Multi-destination trips: A survey on incoming zourism in Sicily," Economics Discussion Papers 2012-21, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    3. Parroco, Anna Maria & Vaccina, Franco & De Cantis, Stefano & Ferrante, Mauro, 2012. "Multi-destination trips and tourism statistics: Empirical evidences in Sicily," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 6, pages 1-27.
    4. Pavić Lazar & Veljković Božidar & Sešel Bojan, 2018. "Discriminant Analysis - Useful Tool for Predicting Demand in Serbian Motels," Economic Themes, Sciendo, vol. 56(4), pages 503-517, December.
    5. Slak Valek, Nataša, 2015. "Tourism expenditure according to mode of transportation: A comparative study between 2009 and 2012," MPRA Paper 77406, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 07 Oct 2015.
    6. Kincses, Áron & Tóth, Géza & Tömöri, Mihály & Michalkó, Gábor, 2017. "Characteristics of transit tourism in Hungary with a focus on expenditure," MPRA Paper 76854, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Saluveer, Erki & Raun, Janika & Tiru, Margus & Altin, Laura & Kroon, Jaanus & Snitsarenko, Tarass & Aasa, Anto & Silm, Siiri, 2020. "Methodological framework for producing national tourism statistics from mobile positioning data," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).

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