IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/agiwat/v241y2020ics0378377420301219.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Development of an uncertain water-food-energy nexus model for pursuing sustainable agricultural and electric productions

Author

Listed:
  • Sun, J.
  • Li, Y.P.
  • Suo, C.
  • Liu, J.

Abstract

Agricultural and electric productions are the main water consumers. They are intricately interlinked and complicated. An uncertain water-food-energy (WFE) nexus model could well reflect the complex relationships among water, agriculture, and electricity. Chance-constrained fuzzy fractional programming (CFFP) method is proposed to reflect the uncertainties in WFE nexus system. It can handle multi-objectives expressed as output/input ratio problems in a fuzzy and random environment. Then, the CFFP-based WFE model is applied to Kaikong watershed (a water-scarce region in northwest China). Water resources utilization, agricultural land allocation and electricity generation are incorporated into the nexus framework for pursuing the maximum water use efficiency (i.e., unit water benefit). Uncertainties in water availability, water demand, and pollutant/CO2 emission have synergistic effects on agricultural and electric productions. The unit water benefit ranges from 0.852 to 0.926 $/m3 across 144 scenarios. Results suggest that, at the end of planning horizon, irrigated agricultural area should be controlled below 203.4 × 103 ha, and vegetable is encouraged. Proportion of fossil-energy power (i.e. coal- and gas-fired electricity) is optimized within 53.1 %–60.4 % in adaption to water and environment constraints. The obtained results can efficiently help optimize use of limited resources, and provide a synergic management strategy for regional sustainability.

Suggested Citation

  • Sun, J. & Li, Y.P. & Suo, C. & Liu, J., 2020. "Development of an uncertain water-food-energy nexus model for pursuing sustainable agricultural and electric productions," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:agiwat:v:241:y:2020:i:c:s0378377420301219
    DOI: 10.1016/j.agwat.2020.106384
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378377420301219
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.agwat.2020.106384?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bassel T. Daher & Rabi H. Mohtar, 2015. "Water-energy-food (WEF) Nexus Tool 2.0: guiding integrative resource planning and decision-making," Water International, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(5-6), pages 748-771, September.
    2. Rabi H. Mohtar & Bassel Daher, 2016. "Water-Energy-Food Nexus Framework for facilitating multi-stakeholder dialogue," Water International, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(5), pages 655-661, July.
    3. Arya, Rubi & Singh, Pitam, 2019. "Fuzzy efficient iterative method for multi-objective linear fractional programming problems," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 39-54.
    4. Sun, J. & Li, Y.P. & Suo, C. & Liu, Y.R., 2019. "Impacts of irrigation efficiency on agricultural water-land nexus system management under multiple uncertainties—A case study in Amu Darya River basin, Central Asia," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 216(C), pages 76-88.
    5. Zhang, Chenglong & Guo, Ping, 2018. "FLFP: A fuzzy linear fractional programming approach with double-sided fuzziness for optimal irrigation water allocation," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 199(C), pages 105-119.
    6. Lee, Seung Oh & Jung, Younghun, 2018. "Efficiency of water use and its implications for a water-food nexus in the Aral Sea Basin," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 207(C), pages 80-90.
    7. Owen, Anne & Scott, Kate & Barrett, John, 2018. "Identifying critical supply chains and final products: An input-output approach to exploring the energy-water-food nexus," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 210(C), pages 632-642.
    8. Kaddoura, Saeed & El Khatib, Sameh, 2017. "Review of water-energy-food Nexus tools to improve the Nexus modelling approach for integrated policy making," Environmental Science & Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 114-121.
    9. J. Sun & Y. P. Li & X. W. Zhuang & S.W. Jin & G. H. Huang & R. F. Feng, 2018. "Identifying water resources management strategies in adaptation to climate change under uncertainty," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 23(4), pages 553-578, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Meiqin Suo & Feng Xia & Yurui Fan, 2022. "A Fuzzy-Interval Dynamic Optimization Model for Regional Water Resources Allocation under Uncertainty," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-20, January.
    2. Li, Mo & Li, Haiyan & Fu, Qiang & Liu, Dong & Yu, Lei & Li, Tianxiao, 2021. "Approach for optimizing the water-land-food-energy nexus in agroforestry systems under climate change," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    3. Yue, Qiong & Guo, Ping, 2021. "Managing agricultural water-energy-food-environment nexus considering water footprint and carbon footprint under uncertainty," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 252(C).
    4. Zolghadr-Asli, Babak & McIntyre, Neil & Djordjevic, Slobodan & Farmani, Raziyeh & Pagliero, Liliana, 2023. "The sustainability of desalination as a remedy to the water crisis in the agriculture sector: An analysis from the climate-water-energy-food nexus perspective," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 286(C).
    5. Yi Cheng, 2023. "Analysis of Development Strategy for Ecological Agriculture Based on a Neural Network in the Environmental Economy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-17, April.
    6. Yue, Qiong & Guo, Ping & Wu, Hui & Wang, Youzhi & Zhang, Chenglong, 2022. "Towards sustainable circular agriculture: An integrated optimization framework for crop-livestock-biogas-crop recycling system management under uncertainty," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    7. Ma, Y. & Li, Y.P. & Huang, G.H. & Zhang, Y.F. & Liu, Y.R. & Wang, H. & Ding, Y.K., 2022. "Planning water-food-ecology nexus system under uncertainty: Tradeoffs and synergies in Central Asia," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 266(C).
    8. Yao, Liming & Li, Yalan & Chen, Xudong, 2021. "A robust water-food-land nexus optimization model for sustainable agricultural development in the Yangtze River Basin," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    9. Radmehr, Riza & Ghorbani, Mohammad & Ziaei, Ali Naghi, 2021. "Quantifying and managing the water-energy-food nexus in dry regions food insecurity: New methods and evidence," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 245(C).
    10. Wang, Shuhang & Wang, Xu & Fu, Zhenghui & Liu, Feng & Xu, Ye & Li, Wei, 2022. "A novel energy-water nexus based CHP operation optimization model under water shortage," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PA).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jha, Priyanka & Schmidt, Stefan, 2021. "State of biofuel development in sub-Saharan Africa: How far sustainable?," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    2. Siderius, Christian & Conway, Declan & Yassine, Mohamed & Murken, Lisa & Lostis, Pierre-Louis & Dalin, Carole, 2020. "Multi-scale analysis of the water-energy-food nexus in the Gulf region," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 104091, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    3. Taguta, C. & Senzanje, A. & Kiala, Z. & Malota, M. & Mabhaudhi, Tafadzwanashe, 2022. "Water-energy-food nexus tools in theory and practice: a systematic review," Papers published in Journals (Open Access), International Water Management Institute, pages 1-4:837316..
    4. Wang, Yu & Lu, Yanli & Xu, Ye & Zheng, Lijun & Fan, Yurui, 2023. "A factorial inexact copula stochastic programming (FICSP) approach for water-energy- food nexus system management," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
    5. Guijun Li & Daohan Huang & Yulong Li, 2016. "China’s Input-Output Efficiency of Water-Energy-Food Nexus Based on the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(9), pages 1-16, September.
    6. Correa-Cano, M.E. & Salmoral, G. & Rey, D. & Knox, J.W. & Graves, A. & Melo, O. & Foster, W. & Naranjo, L. & Zegarra, E. & Johnson, C. & Viteri-Salazar, O. & Yan, X., 2022. "A novel modelling toolkit for unpacking the Water-Energy-Food-Environment (WEFE) nexus of agricultural development," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    7. Bassel Daher & Rabi H. Mohtar & Efstratios N. Pistikopoulos & Kent E. Portney & Ronald Kaiser & Walid Saad, 2018. "Developing Socio-Techno-Economic-Political (STEP) Solutions for Addressing Resource Nexus Hotspots," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-14, February.
    8. Yao, Liming & Li, Yalan & Chen, Xudong, 2021. "A robust water-food-land nexus optimization model for sustainable agricultural development in the Yangtze River Basin," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    9. Fatemeh Bayat & Abbas Roozbahani & Seied Mehdy Hashemy Shahdany, 2022. "Performance Evaluation of Agricultural Surface Water Distribution Systems Based on Water-food-energy Nexus and Using AHP-Entropy-WASPAS Technique," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(12), pages 4697-4720, September.
    10. Yulei Xie & Ling Ji & Beibei Zhang & Gordon Huang, 2018. "Evolution of the Scientific Literature on Input–Output Analysis: A Bibliometric Analysis of 1990–2017," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-17, September.
    11. Dai, Jiangyu & Wu, Shiqiang & Han, Guoyi & Weinberg, Josh & Xie, Xinghua & Wu, Xiufeng & Song, Xingqiang & Jia, Benyou & Xue, Wanyun & Yang, Qianqian, 2018. "Water-energy nexus: A review of methods and tools for macro-assessment," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 210(C), pages 393-408.
    12. Roberts, Simon H. & Foran, Barney D. & Axon, Colin J. & Stamp, Alice V., 2021. "Is the service industry really low-carbon? Energy, jobs and realistic country GHG emissions reductions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
    13. Sun, J. & Li, Y.P. & Suo, C. & Liu, Y.R., 2019. "Impacts of irrigation efficiency on agricultural water-land nexus system management under multiple uncertainties—A case study in Amu Darya River basin, Central Asia," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 216(C), pages 76-88.
    14. Sang-Hyun Lee & Makoto Taniguchi & Rabi H. Mohtar & Jin-Yong Choi & Seung-Hwan Yoo, 2018. "An Analysis of the Water-Energy-Food-Land Requirements and CO 2 Emissions for Food Security of Rice in Japan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-16, September.
    15. Shuangzhi Li & Xiaoling Zhang & Zhongci Deng & Xiaokang Liu & Ruoou Yang & Lihao Yin, 2023. "Identifying the Critical Supply Chains for Black Carbon and CO 2 in the Sichuan Urban Agglomeration of Southwest China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(21), pages 1-19, October.
    16. Guan, Shihui & Han, Mengyao & Wu, Xiaofang & Guan, ChengHe & Zhang, Bo, 2019. "Exploring energy-water-land nexus in national supply chains: China 2012," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 1225-1234.
    17. Simpson, Gareth & Jewitt, Graham & Becker, William & Badenhorst, Jessica & Neves, Ana & Rovira, Pere & Pascual, Victor, 2020. "The Water-Energy-Food Nexus Index: A Tool for Integrated Resource Management and Sustainable Development," OSF Preprints tdhw5, Center for Open Science.
    18. Pitak Ngammuangtueng & Napat Jakrawatana & Pariyapat Nilsalab & Shabbir H. Gheewala, 2019. "Water, Energy and Food Nexus in Rice Production in Thailand," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(20), pages 1-21, October.
    19. Fernando Caixeta & André M. Carvalho & Pedro Saraiva & Fausto Freire, 2022. "Sustainability-Focused Excellence: A Novel Model Integrating the Water–Energy–Food Nexus for Agro-Industrial Companies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-20, August.
    20. Zuo, Qiting & Wu, Qingsong & Yu, Lei & Li, Yongping & Fan, Yurui, 2021. "Optimization of uncertain agricultural management considering the framework of water, energy and food," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 253(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:agiwat:v:241:y:2020:i:c:s0378377420301219. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/agwat .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.