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Price Determination Model of World Vegetable and Petroleum

Author

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  • Iskandar Ali Alam

    (Department of Management, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Bandar Lampung, Lampung, Indonesia,)

  • Hairani Hairani

    (Department of Management, Prasetya Mulya School of Economics, Lampung, Indonesia)

  • Faurani Santi Singagerda

    (Department of Management, Faculty of Economics and Business, Darmajaya Institute of Informatics and Business, Lampung, Indonesia.)

Abstract

The increasing as non-food uses of vegetable oils especially as biodiesel and the basis of the oleo-chemical industry, making the formation of vegetable oil prices in world trade has been linked to world prices of crude oil in addition to linkages with the world price of vegetable oils competitor. The objectives of study were to analyze the linkage of the world price of crude and vegetable oil simultaneously, and examine the impact of the changes of the external factors and trade policy by the vegetable oil s exporting countries and importing countries on the world trade of vegetable oils, and particularly the production, domestic supply, domestic consumption and exports volumes of Indonesian palm oil. The study employed an econometric model and parameters were estimated using Two Stage Least Squares methods for the period 1990-2017. The study found that real price projections in the world market of 2012-2025 periods show the price fluctuations of crude oil and vegetable oil tend to have same patterns with slightly trend to increases. Although positively correlated, the percentage increase of vegetable oils price as the effect of the increasing of crude oil price is less than the percentage change of crude oil prices, except for soybean oil prices that vista vies with the percentage change of crude oil prices. The effect on percentage change of price of soybean oils is the highest and then followed by palm oil. Beside the chemical characteristics, the condition related to the limited volumes of vegetable oils world s productions and the food sector needs as a main constraints in the use of vegetable oils as crude oil substitutes. As annual crop commodities and the substitutes of seed oils, however, palm oil price has more responsive to export fluctuation then it.

Suggested Citation

  • Iskandar Ali Alam & Hairani Hairani & Faurani Santi Singagerda, 2019. "Price Determination Model of World Vegetable and Petroleum," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(5), pages 157-177.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2019-05-19
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Ida Farida & Faurani Santi Singagerda, 2021. "Volatilitiy of World Food Commodity Prices and Renewable Fuel Standard Policy," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(1), pages 516-527.
    2. Anuar Sanusi & Faurani Santi Singagerda & Ahmad Zaharuddin Sani, 2021. "World Oil Price Shocks in Macroeconomic ASEAN +3 Countries: Measurement of Risk Management and Decision-making a Linear Dynamic Panel Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(4), pages 75-83.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    price formation; world trade; vegetable oil; petroleum;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D43 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - Oligopoly and Other Forms of Market Imperfection
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices
    • Q42 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Alternative Energy Sources

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