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The Effects of Oil Shocks on Turkish Macroeconomic Aggregates

Author

Listed:
  • Moayad Al Rasasi

    (Department of Economics, Kansas State University, Manhattan, KS, USA)

  • Mustafa Yilmaz

    (Educational Policy Studies, School of Education, The University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS, USA)

Abstract

This paper examines the impacts of oil price shocks on macroeconomic aggregates of Turkey. We find evidence suggesting the influential role of oil price shocks on macroeconomic aggregates. In other words, we find that oil price shocks affect output growth negatively with a delay. However, higher oil prices are associated with higher inflation, and depreciating exchange rate. We also explore the role of asymmetric oil shocks on macroeconomic aggregates and find that both oil price increases and decreases are associated with a delayed lower output growth rate. Furthermore, we find oil price increases affect inflation positively with a delay. The appreciation of exchange rate appears with a delay due to oil price decreases

Suggested Citation

  • Moayad Al Rasasi & Mustafa Yilmaz, 2016. "The Effects of Oil Shocks on Turkish Macroeconomic Aggregates," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 6(3), pages 471-476.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2016-03-12
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Asunci n Arner G erre, 2017. "The Spanish used Oils Market: A Vector Error Correction Model," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 7(6), pages 1-10.
    2. Mohammad Aladwan & Mohammaad Almaharmeh & Husni Samara, 2023. "Modeling and Mediating the Interaction between Oil Prices and Economic Sectors Advancement: The Case of Middle East," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(2), pages 51-60, March.
    3. Nagmi M. Moftah Aimer, 2016. "The Effects of Fluctuations of Oil Price on Economic Growth of Libya," Energy Economics Letters, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 3(2), pages 17-29, December.
    4. Moayad H. Al Rasasi, 2018. "The Response of G7 Real Exchange Rates to Oil Price Shocks," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(4), pages 191-205, April.
    5. Tacinur AKCA, 2023. "Causal Relationship Between Transport Inflation with Oil Prices and Exchange Rates," Journal of Economic Policy Researches, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 245-260, January.
    6. Musavir Ul Habib, 2019. "An Econometric Analysis of Relationship between Economic Growth and Petroleum Consumption in India," Jindal Journal of Business Research, , vol. 8(2), pages 118-127, December.
    7. Sugra Ingilab Humbatova & Natig Gadim-Ogli Hajiyev, 2021. "The Relationship between Oil Prices and Real Estate Loans and Mortgage Loans in Azerbaijan," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(1), pages 341-354.
    8. Shahriyar Mukhtarov & Jeyhun Mammadov & Fariz Ahmadov, 2019. "The Impact of Oil Prices on Inflation: The Case of Azerbaijan," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(4), pages 97-102.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Oil Price Shocks; Economic Activity; Turkey;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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