IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/cii/cepiie/2017-q3-151-2.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

From natural resource boom to sustainable economic growth: Lessons from Mongolia

Author

Listed:
  • Bin Grace Li
  • Pranav Gupta
  • Jiangyan Yu

Abstract

We attempted to investigate empirically whether or not the Dutch disease (de-industrialization) exists in Russia. This study led to the following main findings: (i) manufacturing output in Russia is positively associated with the price of oil, though the response following an oil-price shock is marginal in the short run; (ii) manufacturing output rises slightly even in case of the appreciation of real effective exchange rate; (iii) FDI inflows contribute to the growth of manufacturing output, but not significant; (iv) an increase in government expenditures crowds out the manufacturing sector; and (v) the government has a tight fiscal policy in response to a rise in manufacturing output.

Suggested Citation

  • Bin Grace Li & Pranav Gupta & Jiangyan Yu, 2017. "From natural resource boom to sustainable economic growth: Lessons from Mongolia," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 151, pages 7-25.
    • Handle: RePEc:cii:cepiie:2017-q3-151-2
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2110701716301573
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Frederick van der Ploeg & Anthony J. Venables, 2011. "Harnessing Windfall Revenues: Optimal Policies for Resource‐Rich Developing Economies," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 121(551), pages 1-30, March.
    2. Araujo, Juliana D. & Li, Bin Grace & Poplawski-Ribeiro, Marcos & Zanna, Luis-Felipe, 2016. "Current account norms in natural resource rich and capital scarce economies," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 144-156.
    3. Ludovic Gauvin & Cyril C. Rebillard, 2018. "Towards recoupling? Assessing the global impact of a Chinese hard landing through trade and commodity price channels," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(12), pages 3379-3415, December.
    4. Pritchett, Lant, 2000. "The Tyranny of Concepts: CUDIE (Cumulated, Depreciated, Investment Effort) Is Not Capital," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 5(4), pages 361-384, December.
    5. Era Dabla-Norris & Jim Brumby & Annette Kyobe & Zac Mills & Chris Papageorgiou, 2012. "Investing in public investment: an index of public investment efficiency," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 17(3), pages 235-266, September.
    6. Sachs, J-D & Warner, A-M, 1995. "Natural Resource Abundance and Economic Growth," Papers 517a, Harvard - Institute for International Development.
    7. Frederick van der Ploeg, 2011. "Natural Resources: Curse or Blessing?," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 49(2), pages 366-420, June.
    8. Masao Ogaki & Jonathan D. Ostry & Carmen M. Reinhart, 1996. "Saving Behavior in Low- and Middle-Income Developing Countries: A Comparison," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 43(1), pages 38-71, March.
    9. Theodore H. Moran, 2013. "Avoiding the "Resource Curse" in Mongolia," Policy Briefs PB13-18, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
    10. Pierre-Richard Agénor, 2012. "Public Capital, Growth and Welfare: Analytical Foundations for Public Policy," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 9893.
    11. Stockman, Alan C & Tesar, Linda L, 1995. "Tastes and Technology in a Two-Country Model of the Business Cycle: Explaining International Comovements," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 85(1), pages 168-185, March.
    12. van der Ploeg, Frederick & Venables, Anthony J., 2013. "Absorbing a windfall of foreign exchange: Dutch disease dynamics," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 229-243.
    13. Reda Cherif & Fuad Hasanov, 2018. "The volatility trap: Precautionary saving, investment, and aggregate risk," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(2), pages 174-185, April.
    14. repec:dau:papers:123456789/1648 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Gupta, Sanjeev & Kangur, Alvar & Papageorgiou, Chris & Wane, Abdoul, 2014. "Efficiency-Adjusted Public Capital and Growth," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 164-178.
    16. Arestoff, Florence & Hurlin, Christophe, 2006. "Estimates of government net capital stocks for 26 developing countries, 1970-2002," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3858, The World Bank.
    17. Mr. Andrew Berg & Mr. Rafael A Portillo & Mr. Edward F Buffie & Ms. Catherine A Pattillo & Luis-Felipe Zanna, 2012. "Public Investment, Growth, and Debt Sustainability: Putting together the Pieces," IMF Working Papers 2012/144, International Monetary Fund.
    18. Andrew Berg & Rafael Portillo & Shu-Chun S Yang & Luis-Felipe Zanna, 2013. "Public Investment in Resource-Abundant Developing Countries," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 61(1), pages 92-129, April.
    19. Masao Ogaki & Jonathan D. Ostry & Carmen M. Reinhart, 1996. "Saving Behavior in Low- and Middle-Income Developing Countries: A Comparison," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 43(1), pages 38-71, March.
    20. World Bank, 2013. "Mongolia : Improving Public Investments to Meet the Challenge of Scaling Up Infrastructure," World Bank Publications - Reports 13256, The World Bank Group.
    21. Bems, Rudolfs & de Carvalho Filho, Irineu, 2011. "The current account and precautionary savings for exporters of exhaustible resources," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(1), pages 48-64, May.
    22. Paul Collier & Rick Van Der Ploeg & Michael Spence & Anthony J Venables, 2010. "Managing Resource Revenues in Developing Economies," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 57(1), pages 84-118, April.
    23. Melina, Giovanni & Yang, Shu-Chun S. & Zanna, Luis-Felipe, 2016. "Debt sustainability, public investment, and natural resources in developing countries: The DIGNAR model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 630-649.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Narantungalag, Odmaa, 2022. "The effects of natural resource extraction on household expenditure patterns: Evidence from Mongolia," GLO Discussion Paper Series 1077, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    2. Odmaa Narantungalag,, 2022. "The effects of natural resource extraction on household expenditure patterns: Evidence from Mongolia," Discussion Papers 2204, School of Economics and Finance, Massey University, New Zealand.
    3. Mr. Takuji Komatsuzaki, 2016. "Improving Public Infrastructure in the Philippines," IMF Working Papers 2016/039, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Richard Pomfret, 2018. "Exploiting a natural resource in a poor country: The good, the bad and the ugly sides of the Kyrgyz Republic’s gold mine," Working Papers 372, Leibniz Institut für Ost- und Südosteuropaforschung (Institute for East and Southeast European Studies).
    5. Namrata Chindarkar & Dodo J. Thampapillai, 2018. "Rethinking Teaching of Basic Principles of Economics from a Sustainability Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-8, May.
    6. Takuji Komatsuzaki, 2019. "Improving Public Infrastructure in the Philippines," Asian Development Review, MIT Press, vol. 36(2), pages 159-184, September.
    7. Kong, Qunxi & Guo, Rui & Wang, Yang & Sui, Xiuping & Zhou, Shimin, 2020. "Home-country environment and firms’ outward foreign direct investment decision: Evidence from Chinese firms," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 390-399.
    8. Jayanthakumaran, Kankesu & Bari, Mohammad Tariful, 2021. "Resource boom and non-resource firms: Mongolia 2007 and 2011," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    9. Ganchimeg Gombodorj & Karoly Peto, 2022. "Impact Of The Mining And Agriculture Sector On The Mongolian Economy," Oradea Journal of Business and Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 74-85, March.
    10. Amir Sadeghi, 2018. "How Public Investment Could Help Strengthen Iran’s Growth Potential: Issues and Options," IMF Working Papers 2018/129, International Monetary Fund.
    11. Maralgua Och & Christian Baerbig & Tsolmon Jadamba, 2017. "Determinants of Inward FDI in Mongolia: An Application of the ARDL Bounds Testing Approach to Cointegration," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 7(3), pages 307-333, March.
    12. Hadi Sasana & Achma Hendra Setiawan & Fitri Ariyanti & Imam Ghozali, 2017. "The Effect of Energy Subsidy on the Environmental Quality in Indonesia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 7(5), pages 245-249.
    13. Gunbileg Ganbayar, 2021. "Analysis of External Debt Sustainability in Mongolia: an Estimated DSGE Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-17, July.
    14. Aqib Aslam & Samya Beidas-Strom & Mr. Rudolfs Bems & Oya Celasun & Zsoka Koczan, 2016. "Trading on Their Terms? Commodity Exporters in the Aftermath of the Commodity Boom," IMF Working Papers 2016/027, International Monetary Fund.
    15. Syed Hasan & Odmaa Narantungalag, & Martin Berka, 2022. "No pain, no gain? Mining pollution and morbidity," Discussion Papers 2203, School of Economics and Finance, Massey University, New Zealand.
    16. Ye, Xiang & Rasoulinezhad, Ehsan, 2023. "Assessment of impacts of green bonds on renewable energy utilization efficiency," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 626-633.
    17. Gan-Ochir Doojav, 2018. "The Effect of Real Exchange Rate on Trade Balance in a Resource-Rich Economy: The Case of Mongolia," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 53(4), pages 211-224, November.
    18. Aleksandr Valerievich Makarov & Elena Vladislavovna Makarova & Aleksandr Borisovich Andreev, 2020. "Mongolia’s foreign economic relations at the current stage of development," Russian Foreign Economic Journal, Russian Foreign Trade Academy Ministry of economic development of the Russian Federation, issue 7, pages 79-92, July.
    19. Andrew Chapman & Hidemichi Fujii & Shunsuke Managi, 2018. "Key Drivers for Cooperation toward Sustainable Development and the Management of CO 2 Emissions: Comparative Analysis of Six Northeast Asian Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-12, January.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Melina, Giovanni & Yang, Shu-Chun S. & Zanna, Luis-Felipe, 2016. "Debt sustainability, public investment, and natural resources in developing countries: The DIGNAR model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 630-649.
    2. Araujo, Juliana D. & Li, Bin Grace & Poplawski-Ribeiro, Marcos & Zanna, Luis-Felipe, 2016. "Current account norms in natural resource rich and capital scarce economies," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 144-156.
    3. King Yoong Lim & Shuonan Zhang, 2023. "Optimal fiscal management in an economy with resource revenue‐financed government‐linked companies," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 2202-2225, April.
    4. Levine,Paul Leslie & Melina,Giovanni & Onder,Harun & Levine,Paul Leslie & Melina,Giovanni & Onder,Harun, 2016. "Non-renewable resources, fiscal rules, and human capital," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7695, The World Bank.
    5. Christine J. Richmond & Irene Yackovlev & Ms. Susan S. Yang, 2013. "Investing Volatile Oil Revenues in Capital-Scarce Economies: An Application to Angola," IMF Working Papers 2013/147, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Sayadi, Mohammad & Khoshkalam Khosroshahi, Musa, 2020. "Assessing Alternative Investment Policies in a Resource-Rich Capital-Scarce Country: Results from a DSGE analysis for Iran," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    7. Agénor, Pierre-Richard, 2016. "Optimal fiscal management of commodity price shocks," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 183-196.
    8. Christine Richmond & Irene Yackovlev & Shu-Chun S. Yang, 2015. "Investing Volatile Resource Revenues in Capital-Scarce Economies," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(1), pages 193-221, February.
    9. Shen, Wenyi & Yang, Shu-Chun S. & Zanna, Luis-Felipe, 2018. "Government spending effects in low-income countries," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 201-219.
    10. Frederick Ploeg, 2012. "Bottlenecks in ramping up public investment," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 19(4), pages 509-538, August.
    11. Salifou Issoufou & Mr. Edward F Buffie & Mouhamadou Bamba Diop & Kalidou Thiaw, 2014. "Efficient Energy Investment and Fiscal Adjustment in Senegal," IMF Working Papers 2014/044, International Monetary Fund.
    12. Ms. Corinne C Delechat & Mr. John W Clark JR & Pranav Gupta & Ms. Malangu Kabedi-Mbuyi & Mr. Mesmin Koulet-Vickot & Ms. Carla Macario & Mr. Toomas Orav & Mr. Manuel Rosales Torres & Rene Tapsoba & Dmi, 2015. "Harnessing Resource Wealth for Inclusive Growth in Fragile States," IMF Working Papers 2015/025, International Monetary Fund.
    13. Chuku Chuku & Jacob Oduor & Anthony Simpasa & Peter Mwanakatwe, 2019. "Working Paper 318 - A DGE Model for Growth and Development Planning: Malawi," Working Paper Series 2444, African Development Bank.
    14. Wills, Samuel, 2018. "Leave the volatility fund alone: Principles for managing oil wealth," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 332-352.
    15. Shantayanan Devarajan & Yazid Dissou & Delfin S. Go & Sherman Robinson, 2017. "Budget Rules and Resource Booms and Busts: A Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Analysis," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 31(1), pages 71-96.
    16. Andrew Berg & Edward F. Buffie & Catherine Pattillo & Rafael Portillo & Andrea F. Presbitero & Luis‐Felipe Zanna, 2019. "Some Misconceptions About Public Investment Efficiency and Growth," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 86(342), pages 409-430, April.
    17. Devarajan, Shantayanan & Dissou, Yazid & Go, Delfin S. & Robinson, Sherman, 2014. "Budget rules and resource booms: A dynamic stochastic general equilibrium analysis," Conference papers 332455, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    18. Ton S van den Bremer & Frederick van der Ploeg, 2013. "Managing and Harnessing Volatile Oil Windfalls," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 61(1), pages 130-167, April.
    19. Lacina Balma & Daniel Gurara & Mthuli Ncube, 2019. "Working Paper 320 - Hands Off Oil Revenues? Public Investment and Cash Transfers," Working Paper Series 2446, African Development Bank.
    20. Thomas McGregor, 2017. "Pricing sovereign debt in resource rich economies," OxCarre Working Papers 194, Oxford Centre for the Analysis of Resource Rich Economies, University of Oxford.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Natural resources management; Debt sustainability; Public investment;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • Q32 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Exhaustible Resources and Economic Development

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cii:cepiie:2017-q3-151-2. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: the person in charge (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cepiifr.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.