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Causality Between Captive Supplies and Cash Market Prices in the U.S. Cattle Procurement Market

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  • Ji, In Bae
  • Chung, Chanjin

Abstract

This study tests the causal direction between captive supply and cash market price in the U.S. cattle procurement market. Finding the correct causality should provide useful information to the decades-long debate on packers’ anti-competitive behavior in the U.S. cattle procurement market. It should also help researchers find better econometric specifications for the cash price-captive supply relationship. Two causality tests—-the Granger test and the Modified Wald test—-were conducted. Overall test results indicate that captive supply causes cash market price, and it favors the price-dependent model.

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File URL: http://purl.umn.edu/142114
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association in its journal Agricultural and Resource Economics Review.

Volume (Year): 41 (2012)
Issue (Month): 3 (December)
Pages:

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Handle: RePEc:ags:arerjl:142114

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Web page: http://www.narea.org/
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Related research

Keywords: captive supply; cattle procurement market; causality; Modified Wald test; unit root; Agribusiness; Livestock Production/Industries; Marketing;

References

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  1. Helmut Lütkepohl & Fang Xu, 2012. "The role of the log transformation in forecasting economic variables," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 42(3), pages 619-638, June.
  2. Diebold, Francis X. & Rudebusch, Glenn D., 1991. "On the power of Dickey-Fuller tests against fractional alternatives," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 155-160, February.
  3. Schroeter, John R., 2007. "Captive Supplies and Cash Market Prices for Fed Cattle: A Dynamic Rational Expectations Model of Delivery Timing," Staff General Research Papers 12710, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
  4. Schroeter, John R. & Azzam, Azzeddine M., 2004. "Captive Supplies and Cash Market Prices for Fed Cattle: The Role of Delivery Timing Incentives," Staff General Research Papers 11159, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
  5. Granger, C W J, 1969. "Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 37(3), pages 424-38, July.
  6. Konya, Laszlo, 2004. "Unit-Root, Cointegration and Granger Causality Test Results for Export and Growth in OECD Countries," International Journal of Applied Econometrics and Quantitative Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 1(2), pages 67-94.
  7. Moonsoo Park & Yanhong Jin & Alan Love, 2011. "Dynamic and contemporaneous causality in a supply chain: an application of the US beef industry," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(30), pages 4785-4801.
  8. Hayenga, Marvin L. & Koontz, Stephen R. & Schroeder, Ted C., 1996. "Definition of Regional Cattle Procurement Markets," Staff General Research Papers 10562, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
  9. Toda, Hiro Y. & Yamamoto, Taku, 1995. "Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 66(1-2), pages 225-250.
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