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Linking Natural Gas Markets - Is LNG Doing its Job?

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Author Info
Anne Neumann

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Abstract

The increase in liquefied natural gas trade has accelerated the integration of previously segmented markets in North America, Europe, and Asia. This paper provides evidence on the integration of the transatlantic natural gas market; it thus complements other papers in the EMF 23 study that focus on prices and international natural gas trade. We test the theoretical proposition that in integrating markets commodity prices should move closer than before. Using 2,059 pairs of daily spot prices for natural gas in North America and Europe we investigate price dynamics covering the period from 1999 until 2008. We apply the Kalman Filter technique which measures convergence by allowing for dynamic structural change to gain detailed information on trends inherent in prices over time. Results suggest an increasing convergence of spot prices on either side of the Atlantic Basin.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by International Association for Energy Economics in its journal The Energy Journal.

Volume (Year): 30 (2009)
Issue (Month): Special Issue ()
Pages: 187-200
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Handle: RePEc:aen:journl:hh-se-a12

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F0 - International Economics - - General

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Serletis, Apostolos & Rangel-Ruiz, Ricardo, 2004. "Testing for common features in North American energy markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 401-414, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Guillaume L¿Hégaret & Boriss Siliverstovs & Anne Neumann & Christian von Hirschhausen, 2003. "International Market Integration for Natural Gas?: A Cointegration Analysis of Prices in Europe, North America and Japan," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 393, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Panagiotidis, Theodore & Rutledge, Emilie, 2007. "Oil and gas markets in the UK: Evidence from a cointegrating approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 329-347, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Stephen P. A. Brown & Mine K. Yücel, 2007. "What drives natural gas prices?," Working Papers 0703, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. [Downloadable!]
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  5. Asche, Frank & Osmundsen, Petter & Tveteras, Ragnar, 2002. "European market integration for gas? Volume flexibility and political risk," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 249-265, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Serletis, Apostolos, 1997. "Is there an East-West split in North-American natural gas markets?," MPRA Paper 1746, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Anne Neumann & Boriss Siliverstovs & Christian von Hirschhausen, 2006. "Convergence of European spot market prices for natural gas? A real-time analysis of market integration using the Kalman Filter," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 13(11), pages 727-732, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Hall, S G & Robertson, D & Wickens, M R, 1992. "Measuring Convergence of the EC Economies," The Manchester School of Economic & Social Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 60(0), pages 99-111, Supplemen.
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-13.


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