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Global Financial Cycle and the Predictability of Oil Market Volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS Model

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  2. Xu, Zhiwei & Gan, Shiqi & Hua, Xia & Xiong, Yujie, 2024. "Can the sentiment of the official media predict the return volatility of the Chinese crude oil futures?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
  3. Ghaemi Asl, Mahdi & Nasr Isfahani, Mohammad & Mohammadi, Mahsa, 2024. "How does the mineral resource exploitation sector interact with Islamic and traditional ventures? Insights amidst the impact of green reforms and state-of-the-art technological advancements," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
  4. Xie, Qichang & Bi, Yanhao & Xi, Yiyu & Xu, Xin, 2025. "The impact of geopolitical risk on higher-order moment risk spillovers in global energy markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
  5. Liu, Tao & Guan, Xinyue & Wei, Yigang & Xue, Shan & Xu, Liang, 2023. "Impact of economic policy uncertainty on the volatility of China's emission trading scheme pilots," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
  6. Liang, Chao & Xia, Zhenglan & Lai, Xiaodong & Wang, Lu, 2022. "Natural gas volatility prediction: Fresh evidence from extreme weather and extended GARCH-MIDAS-ES model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
  7. Wu, Baoxiu & Wang, Qing, 2025. "Cross-asset contagion and risk transmission in global financial networks," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
  8. Huawei Niu & Tianyu Liu, 2024. "Forecasting the volatility of European Union allowance futures with macroeconomic variables using the GJR-GARCH-MIDAS model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 67(1), pages 75-96, July.
  9. Luo, Tao & Sun, Huaping & Zhang, Lixia & Bai, Jiancheng, 2024. "Do the dynamics of macroeconomic attention drive the yen/dollar exchange market volatility?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PB), pages 597-611.
  10. Dong, Xin & Gong, Jinguo & Wang, Qin, 2025. "Environmental attention and the predictability of crude oil volatility: Evidence from a new MIDAS multifractal model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
  11. Li, Wei & Zhang, Junchao & Cao, Xiangye & Han, Wei, 2024. "Is the prediction of precious metal market volatility influenced by internet searches regarding uncertainty?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 62(PB).
  12. Batten, Jonathan A. & Mo, Di & Pourkhanali, Armin, 2024. "Can inflation predict energy price volatility?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
  13. Lu, Xunfa & Wang, Huiyou & Mo, Jianlei, 2025. "Modelling the volatility dynamics of China's regional carbon markets: The heterogeneous effects of the fossil and clean energy electricity generation," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
  14. Harrison, Andre & Liu, Xiaochun & Stewart, Shamar L., 2023. "Structural sources of oil market volatility and correlation dynamics," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
  15. Liu, Feng & Shao, Shuai & Li, Xin & Pan, Na & Qi, Yu, 2023. "Economic policy uncertainty, jump dynamics, and oil price volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
  16. Ding, Shusheng & Cui, Tianxiang & Zhang, Yongmin, 2022. "Futures volatility forecasting based on big data analytics with incorporating an order imbalance effect," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  17. Zheng, Qingying & Wu, Jintao & Lin, Boqiang, 2025. "Performance of systemic stress in agricultural commodities and its implication for volatility prediction in SSA equities," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
  18. Polat, Onur & Somani, Dhanashree & Gupta, Rangan & Karmakar, Sayar, 2025. "Shortages and machine-learning forecasting of oil returns volatility: 1900–2024," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
  19. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2022. "The financial US uncertainty spillover multiplier: Evidence from a GVAR model," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(3), pages 313-340, December.
  20. Zouhaier Dhifaoui & Sami Ben Jabeur & Rabeh Khalfaoui & Muhammad Ali Nasir, 2023. "Time‐varying partial‐directed coherence approach to forecast global energy prices with stochastic volatility model," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(8), pages 2292-2306, December.
  21. Zhang, Lixia & Bai, Jiancheng & Zhang, Yueyan & Cui, Can, 2023. "Global economic uncertainty and the Chinese stock market: Assessing the impacts of global indicators," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
  22. Salisu, Afees A. & Isah, Kazeem & Oloko, Tirimisiyu O., 2024. "Technology shocks and crude oil market connection: The role of climate change," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
  23. Lang, Qiaoqi & Li, Chenyu & Wen, Lixuan & Wu, Hanlin, 2025. "Biodiversity risk and agricultural futures markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
  24. Salisu, Afees A. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Lasisi, Lukman & Olaniran, Abeeb, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and stock market volatility in emerging markets: A GARCH – MIDAS approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
  25. Roy, Archi & Soni, Anchal & Deb, Soudeep, 2023. "A wavelet-based methodology to compare the impact of pandemic versus Russia–Ukraine conflict on crude oil sector and its interconnectedness with other energy and non-energy markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
  26. Chen, Chun-Da & Demirer, Rıza, 2022. "Oil beta uncertainty and global stock returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
  27. Guo, Kun & Liu, Fengqi & Sun, Xiaolei & Zhang, Dayong & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "Predicting natural gas futures’ volatility using climate risks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
  28. Wang, Lu & Zhao, Chenchen & Liang, Chao & Jiu, Song, 2022. "Predicting the volatility of China's new energy stock market: Deep insight from the realized EGARCH-MIDAS model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
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