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Forecasting the Term Structure of Crude Oil Futures Prices with Neural Networks

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  1. is not listed on IDEAS
  2. Fanelli, Viviana & Maddalena, Lucia & Musti, Silvana, 2016. "Modelling electricity futures prices using seasonal path-dependent volatility," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 92-102.
  3. Liang, Qian & Lin, Qingyuan & Guo, Mengzhuo & Lu, Quanying & Zhang, Dayong, 2025. "Forecasting crude oil prices: A Gated Recurrent Unit-based nonlinear Granger Causality model," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
  4. Chai, Jian & Lu, Quanying & Hu, Yi & Wang, Shouyang & Lai, Kin Keung & Liu, Hongtao, 2018. "Analysis and Bayes statistical probability inference of crude oil price change point," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 271-283.
  5. Horváth, Lajos & Liu, Zhenya & Rice, Gregory & Wang, Shixuan, 2020. "A functional time series analysis of forward curves derived from commodity futures," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 646-665.
  6. Mei-Teing Chong & Chin-Hong Puah & Shazali Abu Mansor, 2018. "Oil Price Dynamics Forecasting: An Indicator-Pivoted Paradigm," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(3), pages 307-311.
  7. Lajos Horváth & Zhenya Liu & Curtis Miller & Weiqing Tang, 2024. "Breaks in term structures: Evidence from the oil futures markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(2), pages 2317-2341, April.
  8. Mario Figueiredo & Yuri F. Saporito, 2023. "Forecasting the term structure of commodities future prices using machine learning," Digital Finance, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 57-90, March.
  9. Mustanen, Dmitri & Maaitah, Ahmad & Mishra, Tapas & Parhi, Mamata, 2022. "The power of investors’ optimism and pessimism in oil market forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
  10. Zhai, Dongsheng & Zhang, Tianrui & Liang, Guoqiang & Liu, Baoliu, 2025. "Research on crude oil futures price prediction methods: A perspective based on quantum deep learning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 320(C).
  11. Zhang, Wei & Wu, Jiayi & Wang, Shun & Zhang, Yong, 2025. "Examining dynamics: Unraveling the impact of oil price fluctuations on forecasting agricultural futures prices," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
  12. Xiaojun Chen & Yun Shi & Xiaozhou Wang, 2020. "Equilibrium Oil Market Share under the COVID-19 Pandemic," Papers 2007.15265, arXiv.org.
  13. Bekiroglu, Korkut & Duru, Okan & Gulay, Emrah & Su, Rong & Lagoa, Constantino, 2018. "Predictive analytics of crude oil prices by utilizing the intelligent model search engine," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 2387-2397.
  14. Yingrui Zhou & Taiyong Li & Jiayi Shi & Zijie Qian, 2019. "A CEEMDAN and XGBOOST-Based Approach to Forecast Crude Oil Prices," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-15, February.
  15. Wang, Jue & Zhou, Hao & Hong, Tao & Li, Xiang & Wang, Shouyang, 2020. "A multi-granularity heterogeneous combination approach to crude oil price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
  16. Taiyong Li & Yingrui Zhou & Xinsheng Li & Jiang Wu & Ting He, 2019. "Forecasting Daily Crude Oil Prices Using Improved CEEMDAN and Ridge Regression-Based Predictors," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(19), pages 1-25, September.
  17. Guo, Lili & Huang, Xinya & Li, Yanjiao & Li, Houjian, 2023. "Forecasting crude oil futures price using machine learning methods: Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PA).
  18. repec:aen:journl:ej43-si1-nguyen is not listed on IDEAS
  19. Bredin, Don & O'Sullivan, Conall & Spencer, Simon, 2021. "Forecasting WTI crude oil futures returns: Does the term structure help?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
  20. Butler, Sunil & Kokoszka, Piotr & Miao, Hong & Shang, Han Lin, 2021. "Neural network prediction of crude oil futures using B-splines," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
  21. Dehao Dai & Ding Ma & Dou Liu & Kerui Geng & Yiqing Wang, 2026. "Beyond Polarity: Multi-Dimensional LLM Sentiment Signals for WTI Crude Oil Futures Return Prediction," Papers 2603.11408, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2026.
  22. Lin, Boqiang & Tian, Weimin, 2025. "Exploring the cost of carry in Chinese energy futures: Does it interact with the energy stock market?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 337(C).
  23. Pablo Cansado-Bravo & Carlos Rodríguez-Monroy, 2018. "Persistence of Oil Prices in Gas Import Prices and the Resilience of the Oil-Indexation Mechanism. The Case of Spanish Gas Import Prices," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-17, December.
  24. Gao, Xiangyun & Fang, Wei & An, Feng & Wang, Yue, 2017. "Detecting method for crude oil price fluctuation mechanism under different periodic time series," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 192(C), pages 201-212.
  25. Yoonsik Hong & Diego Klabjan, 2026. "Hierarchical Graph Learning for Calendar Spread Strategies in Commodity Futures Markets," Papers 2606.25811, arXiv.org.
  26. Wang, Jue & Athanasopoulos, George & Hyndman, Rob J. & Wang, Shouyang, 2018. "Crude oil price forecasting based on internet concern using an extreme learning machine," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 665-677.
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