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Expert biases in technology foresight. Why they are a problem and how to mitigate them
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- Sinfield, J.V. & Ajmani, A. & McShane, W., 2024. "Strategic roadmapping to accelerate and risk-mitigate enabling innovations: A generalizable method and a case illustration for marine renewable energy," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
- Wang, Yanhong & Gong, Chen & Ji, Xiaodong & Yuan, Qi, 2025. "Text classification for evaluating digital technology adoption maturity based on BERT: An evidence of Industrial AI from China," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
- Chen, Kaihua & Ren, Zhipeng & Mu, Shijun & Sun, Tara Qian & Mu, Rongping, 2020. "Integrating the Delphi survey into scenario planning for China's renewable energy development strategy towards 2030," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
- Di Zio, Simone & Bolzan, Mario & Marozzi, Marco, 2021. "Classification of Delphi outputs through robust ranking and fuzzy clustering for Delphi-based scenarios," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
- Heiko A. von der Gracht, 2022. "The force that rules the world: Commentary on Fenton‐O'Creevy and Tuckett (2021)," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 4(3-4), September.
- Mauksch, Stefanie & von der Gracht, Heiko A. & Gordon, Theodore J., 2020. "Who is an expert for foresight? A review of identification methods," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
- Christoph Markmann & Alexander Spickermann & Heiko A. von der Gracht & Alexander Brem, 2021. "Improving the question formulation in Delphi‐like surveys: Analysis of the effects of abstract language and amount of information on response behavior," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 3(1), March.
- Harwood, Stephen & Eaves, Sally, 2020. "Conceptualising technology, its development and future: The six genres of technology," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
- Berbel-Vera, Jose & Barrachina Palanca, Mercedes & Gonzalez-Sanchez, Maria Beatriz, 2022. "Key CDO functions for successful digital transformation: Insights from a Delphi study," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 181(C).
- De-León Almaraz, Sofía & Moustapha Mai, Tchougoune & Melendez, Iris Rocio & Loganathan, M.K. & Azzaro-Pantel, Catherine, 2024. "A holistic approach to assessing reliability in green hydrogen supply chains using mixed methods," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
- Tao Luo & Zilin Cheng & Hongmei Ma, 2024. "Impact of Land-Use Intensification on the Development of Sustainable Agricultural Green Innovation Technology," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(4), pages 20595-20629, December.
- Sillman, J. & Hynynen, K. & Dyukov, I. & Ahonen, T. & Jalas, M, 2023. "Emission reduction targets and electrification of the Finnish energy system with low-carbon Power-to-X technologies: Potentials, barriers, and innovations – A Delphi survey," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
- Beiderbeck, Daniel & Frevel, Nicolas & von der Gracht, Heiko A. & Schmidt, Sascha L. & Schweitzer, Vera M., 2021. "The impact of COVID-19 on the European football ecosystem – A Delphi-based scenario analysis," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
- Athota, Vidya S. & Pereira, Vijay & Hasan, Zahid & Vaz, Daicy & Laker, Benjamin & Reppas, Dimitrios, 2023. "Overcoming financial planners’ cognitive biases through digitalization: A qualitative study," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
- Heidemann, Gerrit & Schmidt, Sascha L. & von der Gracht, Heiko A. & Beiderbeck, Daniel, 2024. "The impact of the metaverse on the future business of professional football clubs – A prospective study," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
- Geissler, Dominik & Beiderbeck, Daniel & Schmidt, Sascha L. & Schreyer, Dominik, 2024. "Emerging technologies and shifting consumer motives: Projecting the future of the top-tier sports media product," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
- Tiberius, Victor & Gojowy, Robin & Dabić, Marina, 2022. "Forecasting the future of robo advisory: A three-stage Delphi study on economic, technological, and societal implications," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
- Per Dannemand Andersen, 2023. "Constructing Delphi statements for technology foresight," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 5(2), June.
- Delhaes, Jörg M. & Vieira, Ana C.L. & Oliveira, Mónica D., 2024. "Natural language processing for participatory corporate foresight: The participant input analyzer for identifying biases and fallacies," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
- Ruxandra Malina Petrescu-Mag & Philippe Burny & Ioan Banatean-Dunea & Dacinia Crina Petrescu, 2022. "How Climate Change Science Is Reflected in People’s Minds. A Cross-Country Study on People’s Perceptions of Climate Change," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(7), pages 1-25, April.
- Frederiksen, Marianne Harbo & Wolf, Patricia & Klotz, Ute, 2024. "Citizen visions of drone uses and impacts in 2057: Far-future insights for policy decision-makers," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
- Frevel, Nicolas & Beiderbeck, Daniel & Schmidt, Sascha L., 2022. "The impact of technology on sports – A prospective study," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
- de Souza, Michele & Pereira, Giancarlo Medeiros & Lopes de Sousa Jabbour, Ana Beatriz & Chiappetta Jabbour, Charbel Jose & Trento, Luiz Reni & Borchardt, Miriam & Zvirtes, Leandro, 2021. "A digitally enabled circular economy for mitigating food waste: Understanding innovative marketing strategies in the context of an emerging economy," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
- Peppel, Marcel & Ringbeck, Jürgen & Spinler, Stefan, 2022. "How will last-mile delivery be shaped in 2040? A Delphi-based scenario study," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
- Nicola Döring & Katrien De Moor & Markus Fiedler & Katrin Schoenenberg & Alexander Raake, 2022. "Videoconference Fatigue: A Conceptual Analysis," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(4), pages 1-20, February.
- Beiderbeck, Daniel & Evans, Nicolas & Frevel, Nicolas & Schmidt, Sascha L., 2023. "The impact of technology on the future of football – A global Delphi study," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).