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Exploiting dependence: Day-ahead volatility forecasting for crude oil and natural gas exchange-traded funds

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Hasanov, Akram Shavkatovich & Burkhanov, Aktam Usmanovich & Usmonov, Bunyod & Khajimuratov, Nizomjon Shukurullaevich & Khurramova, Madina Mansur qizi, 2024. "The role of sudden variance shifts in predicting volatility in bioenergy crop markets under structural breaks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
  2. Haukvik, Nicole & Cheraghali, Hamid & Molnár, Peter, 2024. "The role of investors’ fear in crude oil volatility forecasting," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PB).
  3. Raphael Amaro & Carlos Pinho & Mara Madaleno, 2022. "Forecasting the Value-at-Risk of energy commodities: A comparison of models and alternative distribution functions," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 65, pages 77-101.
  4. Wu, Bi-Bo, 2021. "The dynamics of oil on China’s commodity sectors: What can we learn from a quantile perspective?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 23(C).
  5. Xu, Zhiwei & Gan, Shiqi & Hua, Xia & Xiong, Yujie, 2024. "Can the sentiment of the official media predict the return volatility of the Chinese crude oil futures?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
  6. Lyócsa, Štefan & Todorova, Neda, 2020. "Trading and non-trading period realized market volatility: Does it matter for forecasting the volatility of US stocks?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 628-645.
  7. Naeem, Muhammad & Umar, Zaghum & Ahmed, Sheraz & Ferrouhi, El Mehdi, 2020. "Dynamic dependence between ETFs and crude oil prices by using EGARCH-Copula approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 557(C).
  8. Liang, Chao & Xia, Zhenglan & Lai, Xiaodong & Wang, Lu, 2022. "Natural gas volatility prediction: Fresh evidence from extreme weather and extended GARCH-MIDAS-ES model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
  9. Luo, Jiawen & Ji, Qiang & Klein, Tony & Todorova, Neda & Zhang, Dayong, 2020. "On realized volatility of crude oil futures markets: Forecasting with exogenous predictors under structural breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
  10. Lyócsa, Štefan & Todorova, Neda & Výrost, Tomáš, 2021. "Predicting risk in energy markets: Low-frequency data still matter," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(PA).
  11. Horpestad, Jone B. & Lyócsa, Štefan & Molnár, Peter & Olsen, Torbjørn B., 2019. "Asymmetric volatility in equity markets around the world," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 540-554.
  12. Panagiotis Delis & Stavros Degiannakis & Konstantinos Giannopoulos, 2023. "What Should be Taken into Consideration when Forecasting Oil Implied Volatility Index?," The Energy Journal, , vol. 44(5), pages 231-250, September.
  13. Wang, Lu & Wang, Xing & Liang, Chao, 2024. "Natural gas volatility prediction via a novel combination of GARCH-MIDAS and one-class SVM," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
  14. Zhe Jiang & Yunguo Lu & Lin Zhang, 2025. "Integrating sentiment information for risk prediction: the case of crude oil futures market in China," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 68(4), pages 1677-1718, April.
  15. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Climate Risks and the Realized Volatility Oil and Gas Prices: Results of an Out-of-Sample Forecasting Experiment," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-18, December.
  16. Yaxian Lu & Longguang Yang & Lihong Liu, 2019. "Volatility Spillovers between Crude Oil and Agricultural Commodity Markets since the Financial Crisis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-12, January.
  17. Lyócsa, Štefan & Todorova, Neda, 2021. "What drives volatility of the U.S. oil and gas firms?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
  18. Alizadeh, Amir H. & Huang, Chih-Yueh & Marsh, Ian W., 2021. "Modelling the volatility of TOCOM energy futures: A regime switching realised volatility approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
  19. Lyócsa, Štefan & Molnár, Peter & Plíhal, Tomáš & Širaňová, Mária, 2020. "Impact of macroeconomic news, regulation and hacking exchange markets on the volatility of bitcoin," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
  20. Kamocsai, László & Ormos, Mihály, 2025. "Modeling gasoline price volatility," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
  21. Kamocsai, László & Ormos, Mihály, 2026. "Modeling and forecasting commodity price volatility using a common leverage factor," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
  22. Zargar, Faisal Nazir & Kumar, Dilip, 2020. "Heterogeneous market hypothesis approach for modeling unbiased extreme value volatility estimator in presence of leverage effect: An individual stock level study with economic significance analysis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 271-285.
  23. Gil, Cohen, 2022. "Intraday Trading of Precious Metals Futures Using Algorithmic Systems," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
  24. Liu, Yuanyuan & Niu, Zibo & Suleman, Muhammad Tahir & Yin, Libo & Zhang, Hongwei, 2022. "Forecasting the volatility of crude oil futures: The role of oil investor attention and its regime switching characteristics under a high-frequency framework," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PA).
  25. Lyócsa, Štefan & Molnár, Peter & Výrost, Tomáš, 2021. "Stock market volatility forecasting: Do we need high-frequency data?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1092-1110.
  26. Werner Kristjanpoller, 2024. "A hybrid econometrics and machine learning based modeling of realized volatility of natural gas," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-32, December.
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