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Estimating and Projecting Potential Output Using CBO’s Forecasting Growth Model: Working Paper 2018-03

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Fatás, Antonio & Singh, Sanjay R., 2024. "Supply or demand? Policy makers’ confusion in the presence of hysteresis," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
  2. Andreas Hornstein & Marianna Kudlyak, 2019. "Aggregate Labor Force Participation and Unemployment and Demographic Trends," Working Paper Series 2019-7, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  3. Augustus J. Panton, 2020. "Climate Hysteresis and Monetary Policy," CAMA Working Papers 2020-76, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  4. Fontanari, Claudia & Palumbo, Antonella & Salvatori, Chiara, 2020. "Potential Output in Theory and Practice: A Revision and Update of Okun's Original Method," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 247-266.
  5. Bruce Fallick & Christopher L. Foote, 2022. "The Impact of the Age Distribution on Unemployment: Evidence from US States," Working Papers 22-27, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
  6. Pascal Michaillat & Emmanuel Saez, 2019. "Beveridgean Unemployment Gap," Papers 1911.05271, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2021.
  7. Murat Tasci, 2019. "Challenges with Estimating U Star in Real Time," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, issue November.
  8. Andrzej Cieślik & Mehmet Burak Turgut, 2024. "Uncertainty and long-run economy: the role of R &D and business dynamism," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 66(4), pages 1403-1441, April.
  9. Rafael R. S. Guimaraes, 2022. "Deep Learning Macroeconomics," Papers 2201.13380, arXiv.org.
  10. Burger, John D. & Warnock, Francis E. & Warnock, Veronica Cacdac, 2022. "A natural level of capital flows," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 1-16.
  11. Tommaso Proietti & Marco Fioramanti & Cecilia Frale & Libero Monteforte, 2020. "A Systemic Approach to Estimating the Output Gap for the Italian Economy," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 62(3), pages 465-493, September.
  12. Ochsner, Christian & Other, Lars & Thiel, Esther & Zuber, Christopher, 2024. "Demographic aging and long-run economic growth in Germany," Working Papers 02/2024, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung.
  13. Douglas Elmendorf & R. Glenn Hubbard & Zachary Liscow, 2025. "Policies to Reduce Federal Budget Deficits by Increasing Economic Growth," NBER Chapters, in: Entrepreneurship and Innovation Policy and the Economy, volume 5, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  14. Alejandro Pinilla Barrera & Álvaro Hurtado Rendón & Hermilson Velásquez Ceballos, 2024. "Variation Index of the Output Gap (VIOG): A New Way of Testing Potential GDP Estimations," Documentos de Trabajo de Valor Público 2, Universidad EAFIT.
  15. Robert J. Hodrick, 2020. "An Exploration of Trend-Cycle Decomposition Methodologies in Simulated Data," NBER Working Papers 26750, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  16. Peter D. Williams & Mr. Yasser Abdih & Emanuel Kopp, 2020. "Reading the Stars," IMF Working Papers 2020/136, International Monetary Fund.
  17. Błażej, Mirosław & Górajski, Mariusz & Ulrichs, Magdalena, 2025. "Microdata-based output gap estimation using business tendency surveys," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
  18. Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar & Charles Knipp & Pawel J. Szerszen, 2024. "Trend-Cycle Decomposition and Forecasting Using Bayesian Multivariate Unobserved Components," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-100, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  19. R. Jason Faberman & Andreas I. Mueller & Ayşegül Şahin* & Giorgio Topa, 2020. "The Shadow Margins of Labor Market Slack," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 52(S2), pages 355-391, December.
  20. Filippo Occhino, 2019. "The Flattening of the Phillips Curve: Policy Implications Depend on the Cause," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, issue July.
  21. Jeremy B. Rudd, 2022. "The Anatomy of Single-Digit Inflation in the 1960s," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-029, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  22. Remzi Baris Tercioglu, 2020. "A sectoral approach to measuring output gap: Evidence from 20 US sectors over 1948-2019," Working Papers 2012, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics, revised Jun 2021.
  23. Josefine Quast & Maik H. Wolters, 2022. "Reliable Real-Time Output Gap Estimates Based on a Modified Hamilton Filter," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(1), pages 152-168, January.
  24. Dunbar, Kwamie & Owusu-Amoako, Johnson, 2021. "The impact of hedging on risk-averse agents’ output decisions," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
  25. Kurt Graden Lunsford, 2023. "Business Cycles and Low-Frequency Fluctuations in the US Unemployment Rate," Working Papers 23-19, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
  26. Michaillat, Pascal & Saez, Emmanuel, 2019. "Beveridgean Unemployment Gap," Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt7rn6h2gw, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz.
  27. Andrew B. Martinez & Alexander D. Schibuola & David Beckworth, 2025. "The Reliability of the Nominal GDP Expectations Gap," Working Papers 2025-004, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research.
  28. Martinez, Andrew & Schibuola, Alex, 2021. "The Expectations Gap: An Alternative Measure of Economic Slack," Working Papers 11284, George Mason University, Mercatus Center.
  29. Chang Liu & Yinxi Xie, 2023. "Understanding Inflation Dynamics: The Role of Government Expenditures," Staff Working Papers 23-30, Bank of Canada.
  30. Saeed Zaman, 2021. "A Unified Framework to Estimate Macroeconomic Stars," Working Papers 21-23R2, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 31 May 2024.
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