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Die Generationenbilanz: Brandmelder der Zukunft. Update 2007: Demografie trifft Konjunktur

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  • Raffelhüschen, Bernd
  • Hagist, Christian
  • Heidler, Matthias
  • Schoder, Jörg

Abstract

Dass die zunehmende Alterung der Bevölkerung Deutschland in den kommenden Dekaden vor große Herausforderungen stellen wird, hat sich inzwischen bei vielen Bürgern und den meisten Politikern herumgesprochen. Über das Ausmaß der zu erwartenden Probleme wie über die Handlungserfordernisse seitens der Politik bestehen gleichwohl häufig keine klaren Vorstellungen. Um die konkreten wirtschafts- und sozialpolitischen Herausforderungen des doppelten Alterungsprozesses (d.h. einer dauerhaft niedrigen Geburtenrate bei gleichzeitig steigender Lebenserwartung) zu quantifizieren, hat die Stiftung Marktwirtschaft im Jahr 2006 damit begonnen, in Kooperation mit dem Forschungszentrum Generationenverträge an der Universität Freiburg regelmäßig eine Generationenbilanz für Deutschland zu veröffentlichen. Die vorliegende Studie stellt das erste planmäßige Update dar. Es beinhaltet eine umfangreiche Datenaktualisierung und berücksichtigt die in den letzten Monaten beschlossenen, fiskalisch wirksamen Reformen, insbesondere im Bereich der Sozialversicherungssysteme.

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  • Raffelhüschen, Bernd & Hagist, Christian & Heidler, Matthias & Schoder, Jörg, 2007. "Die Generationenbilanz: Brandmelder der Zukunft. Update 2007: Demografie trifft Konjunktur," Argumente zur Marktwirtschaft und Politik 100, Stiftung Marktwirtschaft / The Market Economy Foundation, Berlin.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:smwarg:100
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Alan J. Auerbach & Jagadeesh Gokhale & Laurence J. Kotlikoff, 1992. "Social Security and Medicare Policy from the Perspective of Generational Accounting," NBER Chapters, in: Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 6, pages 129-145, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    1. Raffelhüschen, Bernd & Hagist, Christian & Moog, Stefan & Vatter, Johannes, 2009. "Ehrbare Staaten? Die deutsche Generationenbilanz im internationalen Vergleich," Argumente zur Marktwirtschaft und Politik 107, Stiftung Marktwirtschaft / The Market Economy Foundation, Berlin.
    2. Raffelhüschen, Bernd & Moog, Stefan, 2009. "Ehrbarer Staat? Die Generationenbilanz. Update 2009: Wirtschaftskrise trifft Tragfähigkeit," Argumente zur Marktwirtschaft und Politik 108, Stiftung Marktwirtschaft / The Market Economy Foundation, Berlin.
    3. Raffelhüschen, Bernd & Hagist, Christian & Moog, Stefan, 2008. "Ehrbarer Staat? Die Generationenbilanz. Update 2008: Migration und Nachhaltigkeit," Argumente zur Marktwirtschaft und Politik 103, Stiftung Marktwirtschaft / The Market Economy Foundation, Berlin.

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