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Periodic correlation vs. integration and cointegration (Okresowa korelacja a integracja i kointegracja)

  • Ewa Broszkiewicz-Suwaj
  • Agnieszka Wylomanska

In this paper we present a new approach to integration and cointegration. We show that a periodically correlated time series can be divided in a natural way into subseries that are integrated. Moreover, with high probability they are cointegrated. Therefore it is enough to show periodic correlation of the original series to conclude that the subseries are integrated. In the first part of the paper we present the main features of periodically correlated processes and a method of detecting periodic correlation. We illustrate it using a data set of spot electricity prices from the Nord Pool Power Exchange. In the next section we show that the subseries (one for each day of the week) exhibit integration as well as cointegration.

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File URL: http://www.im.pwr.wroc.pl/~hugo/RePEc/wuu/wpaper/HSC_04_04.pdf
File Function: Draft, 2004 (in Polish)
Download Restriction: no

Paper provided by Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology in its series HSC Research Reports with number HSC/04/04.

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Length: 9 pages
Date of creation: 2004
Date of revision:
Publication status: Published in Prace Naukowe Akademii Ekonomicznej we Wroc³awiu 1088 (2005) 83-89, in Polish.
Handle: RePEc:wuu:wpaper:hsc0404
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  1. Ewa Broszkiewicz-Suwaj & Andrzej Makagon & Rafal Weron & Agnieszka Wylomanska, 2005. "On detecting and modeling periodic correlation in financial data," Econometrics 0502006, EconWPA.
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