IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/wsr/fiwjag/y2025m02.html

FIW-Jahresgutachten 2025 Die österreichische Außenwirtschaft

Author

Listed:
  • Harald Oberhofer
  • Vasily Astrov
  • Elisabeth Christen
  • Robert Stehrer

Abstract

Im abgelaufenen Kalenderjahr dürften die österreichischen Güterexporte um 2,9% und die Importe um 4,9% gesunken sein. Die Warenhandelsbilanz hat sich verbessert und dürfte das erste Mal seit 2007 einen Überschuss erzielen. Für heuer und im nächsten Jahr prognostiziert das FIW ein preisbereinigtes Exportwachstum von 1,4% und 2,3% wobei die Abwärtsrisiken wie etwa die notwendigen Budgetkonsolidierungen in Europa und die protektionistische Handelspolitik des neuen US-Präsidenten überwiegen.

Suggested Citation

  • Harald Oberhofer & Vasily Astrov & Elisabeth Christen & Robert Stehrer, 2025. "FIW-Jahresgutachten 2025 Die österreichische Außenwirtschaft," FIW Annual Report on the Status of the Austrian External Sector series y:2025:m:02, FIW.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsr:fiwjag:y:2025:m:02
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.fiw.ac.at/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/FIW_AH_JG_2025_final_barrierefrei.pdf
    File Function: full text
    Download Restriction: none
    File URL: https://www.fiw.ac.at/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/FIW-JG-2025-Datenappenix_print.pdf
    File Function: full text
    Download Restriction: none
    File URL: https://www.fiw.ac.at/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/FIW-JG-2025-Datenappenix_final.xlsx
    File Function: full text
    Download Restriction: none
    File URL: https://www.fiw.ac.at/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/FIW_AH_JG_2025_final_barrierefrei-1.pdf
    File Function: full text
    Download Restriction: none
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. World Bank, 2025. "Global Economic Prospects, January 2025," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 42452, April.
    2. Timo Wollmershäuser & Stefan Ederer & Friederike Fourné & Max Lay & Robert Lehmann & Sebastian Link & Sascha Möhrle & Ann-Christin Rathje & Moritz Schasching & Stefan Schiman-Vukan & Gerome Wolf & Lar, 2024. "ifo Konjunkturprognose Frühjahr 2024: Deutsche Wirtschaft wie gelähmt," ifo Schnelldienst Digital, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 5(2), pages 01-12, March.
    3. Valentine Millot & Łukasz Rawdanowicz, 2024. "The return of industrial policies: Policy considerations in the current context," OECD Economic Policy Papers 34, OECD Publishing.
    4. Anja Sebbesen & Harald Oberhofer, 2024. "The propagation of business expectations within the European Union," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 1082-1103, September.
    5. Timo Wollmershäuser & Stefan Ederer & Friederike Fourné & Max Lay & Robert Lehmann & Sebastian Link & Sascha Möhrle & Moritz Schasching & Gerome Wolf & Lara Zarges, 2024. "ifo Konjunkturprognose Herbst 2024: Deutsche Wirtschaft steckt in der Krise fest," ifo Schnelldienst Digital, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 5(7), pages 01-12, September.
    6. repec:ces:ifosdd:v:7:y:2024:i:7:p:01-12 is not listed on IDEAS
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Alma Zhilla, 2025. "The Role of Big Data in Promoting Sustainable Tourism Practices in Albania: Proposal for a National Intelligent Tourism Platform," Acta Universitatis Bohemiae Meridionalis, University of South Bohemia in Ceske Budejovice, Faculty of Economics, vol. 28(2), pages 63-82.
    2. Emilian DOBRESCU, 2020. "Self-fulfillment degree of economic expectations within an integrated space: The European Union case study," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 5-32, December.
    3. Nwaobi, Godwin, 2025. "Climate Transition, Decarbonization Framework and Energy Sustainability in Ecowas Region," MPRA Paper 124215, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Battistini, Niccolò & Neves, Pedro, 2026. "What drives business expectations? A tale of demand and supply," Working Paper Series 3179, European Central Bank.
    5. Harald Oberhofer, 2026. "FIW PB-72 One Year of America First 2.0: Assessing the Effects of Trump’s Trade Policies," FIW Policy Brief series 72, FIW.
    6. Amat Adarov & M. Ayhan Kose & Dana Vorisek, 2025. "Investment in Emerging and Developing Economies," CAMA Working Papers 2025-71, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    7. Anja Sebbesen & Birgit Meyer, 2025. "I Think What You Think: Trade Fairs and the Exchange of Firms' Beliefs," WIFO Working Papers 704, WIFO.
    8. Fichtner Ferdinand & Junker Simon & Michelsen Claus, 2025. "Zur Bundestagswahl: Wie die Parteien die Investitionstätigkeit ankurbeln wollen," Wirtschaftsdienst, Sciendo, vol. 105(2), pages 104-111.
    9. Andrey Gnidchenko, 2025. "Assessing the Impact of New US Tariffs on Global Trade, Taking Its Intra-Annual Dynamics into Account," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 84(4), pages 85-100, December.
    10. Monique B. Reid & Pierre L. Siklos, 2022. "How Firms and Experts View The Phillips Curve: Evidence from Individual and Aggregate Data from South Africa," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(12), pages 3355-3376, September.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wsr:fiwjag:y:2025:m:02. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: the person in charge (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.