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Resilience in adversity: How social policies amend labor and capital mobility in the face of extreme weather events

Author

Listed:
  • Vinicius Schuabb
  • Pedro Chaves Maia
  • Valdemar Pinho Neto
  • Sergio Guimarães
  • Paulo Tafner

Abstract

This paper examines how social policy shapes mobility responses to extreme weather events. We study Brazil's conditional cash transfer programme, Bolsa Família, and its impact on the relocation decisions of vulnerable households exposed to extreme rainfall. We assemble a novel dataset linking georeferenced household and firm records to high-resolution precipitation data, climate vulnerability maps, and federally recognized disaster reports, covering 858 municipalities from 2015 to 2020.

Suggested Citation

  • Vinicius Schuabb & Pedro Chaves Maia & Valdemar Pinho Neto & Sergio Guimarães & Paulo Tafner, 2025. "Resilience in adversity: How social policies amend labor and capital mobility in the face of extreme weather events," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2025-74, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    • Handle: RePEc:unu:wpaper:wp-2025-74
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Viral V. Acharya & Timothy Johnson & Suresh Sundaresan & Steven Zheng, 2023. "Disasters with Unobservable Duration and Frequency: Intensified Responses and Diminished Preparedness," NBER Working Papers 31067, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Colin Andrews & Aude de Montesquiou & Ines Arevalo Sanchez & Puja Vasudeva Dutta & Boban Varghese Paul & Sadna Samaranayake & Janet Heisey & Timothy Clay & Sarang Chaudhary, 2021. "The State of Economic Inclusion Report 2021," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 34917, April.
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