El acceso a la jubilación o pensión en Uruguay: ¿cuántos y quiénes lo lograrían?
The estimations in this paper show that there is a high risk that a very significant share of the workers registered in the work history of the main social security institution of Uruguay (the BPS) will not be able to comply with the condition of contributing 35 years to access the pension when they reach the usual ages for retirement, if the frequencies of contributions observed between 1996 and 2004 remain unchanged in the future. As expected, the problem is more serious in the private sector and among low-wage workers than in the public sector and among better paid workers. The differences found between males and females are significant, but of a lower magnitude than the above mentioned ones. Also the sign of the differences between genders change across estimations.
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