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Risk Premia in the Term Structure of Swaps in Pesetas

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Abstract

Some characteristics of the term structure in interest rate swap (IRS) markets are influenced by the own idiosyncrasy of this financial instrument, which could explain the rejection of the Expectations Hypothesis, we present evidence supporting the existence of significant, time-varying risk premia. We then focus on characterizing some propreties of realized, ex-pst term-premia, and provide explanatory variables for them. We pay particular attention to the extent to which the levels of markets risk, default risk and liquidity risk explain the time evolution of risk premia at different maturities.

Suggested Citation

  • Alfonso Novales & Pilar Abad, 2002. "Risk Premia in the Term Structure of Swaps in Pesetas," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 0219, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
    • Handle: RePEc:ucm:doicae:0219
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    4. Evans, Martin D. D. & Lewis, Karen K., 1994. "Do stationary risk premia explain it all?: Evidence from the term structure," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 285-318, April.
    5. Johansen, Soren, 1991. "Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(6), pages 1551-1580, November.
    6. Fama, Eugene F., 1976. "Forward rates as predictors of future spot rates," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(4), pages 361-377, October.
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    Keywords

    Term structure; Interest rate swaps; Expectations theory; Forwad rate; Risk premium.;
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