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Characteristic Function-Based Factor Modeling of Affine Jump-Diffusions using Options

Author

Listed:
  • H. Peter Boswijk

    (University of Amsterdam)

  • Roger J. A. Laeven

    (University of Amsterdam)

  • Niels Marijnen

    (University of Amsterdam)

  • Evgenii Vladimirov

    (Erasmus University Rotterdam)

Abstract

We develop a framework to analyze option markets using factor modeling techniques, offering a novel method to study how many and which risk factors drive the price process of a single asset. We exploit information contained in option prices to construct observations on the characteristic function of the returns on the underlying asset, without having to specify a parametric model. Our asymptotic setting is one in which the number of observed options, with varying strikes, tends to infinity. We establish consistency and asymptotic normality of the option-based log-characteristic function estimator, and provide a feasible central limit theorem that can be used for testing. Based on this, we prove that principal component analysis is able to extract the factors of affine jump-diffusions. We show in Monte Carlo simulations that our has good finite-sample properties. An empirical application indicates that the main factor driving S&P 500 returns is a stochastic variance process, along with a factor related to left-tail jump risk, and that at least two factors are needed to explain higher-order moments with reasonable accuracy.

Suggested Citation

  • H. Peter Boswijk & Roger J. A. Laeven & Niels Marijnen & Evgenii Vladimirov, 2026. "Characteristic Function-Based Factor Modeling of Affine Jump-Diffusions using Options," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 26-026/III, Tinbergen Institute.
  • Handle: RePEc:tin:wpaper:20260026
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    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C38 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Classification Methdos; Cluster Analysis; Principal Components; Factor Analysis
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

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