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International Evidence on the Interaction between Cross-Border Capital Flows and Domestic Credit Growth

Author

Listed:
  • Yavuz Arslan
  • Temel Taskin

Abstract

The extent of interaction between international capital flows and macro-financial stability is an important and unsettled topic of debate. We contribute to this discussion by providing empirical evidence on the relationship between capital flows and domestic credit growth using a large cross-country panel dataset which includes both developed and developing economies. In the benchmark regression, we use a fixed effect model, and find a statistically significant and positive co-movement between the two variables, which is consistent with common wisdom and recent theory a la Bruno and Shin (2014). This empirical regularity is more pronounced in upper-middle income countries in comparison with the lower-middle and high income countries. The main results are robust to other econometric specifications and a variety of alternative measures for credit growth and capital flows.

Suggested Citation

  • Yavuz Arslan & Temel Taskin, 2014. "International Evidence on the Interaction between Cross-Border Capital Flows and Domestic Credit Growth," Working Papers 1418, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  • Handle: RePEc:tcb:wpaper:1418
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    File URL: http://www.tcmb.gov.tr/wps/wcm/connect/EN/TCMB+EN/Main+Menu/Publications/Research/Working+Paperss/2014/14-18
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    Cited by:

    1. Gokhan Sahin Gunes & Sumru Oz, 2016. "Response of Turkish Financial Markets to Negative Interest Rate Announcements of the ECB," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1614, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    2. Arteta, Carlos & Kose, Ayhan & Stocker, Marc & Taskin, Temel, 2016. "Negative Interest Rate Policies: Sources and Implications," CEPR Discussion Papers 11433, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Cross-border capital flows; Domestic credit growth; Macro-financial stability; Cross-country evidence;

    JEL classification:

    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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