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Criminometrics, Latent Variables, Panel Data, and Different Types of Crime

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Abstract

A behavioural model of crime is developed and applied to panel data on the number of crimes and clear-ups for the 53 police districts in Norway for the period 1970-78. Data on both total crime and on 12 different types of crime is employed. The model consists of behavioural relations of the offenders and the police, and of measurement relations allowing for random and systematic errors in the registered crimes and clear-ups. A theoretical analysis reveals that the model is identified under certain conditions, and our empirical analysis supports the hypothesis that these conditions are satisfied. Detailed empirical results on deterrence elasticities and other structural parameters are presented.

Suggested Citation

  • Jørgen Aasness & Erling Eide & Terje Skjerpen, 1994. "Criminometrics, Latent Variables, Panel Data, and Different Types of Crime," Discussion Papers 124, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
  • Handle: RePEc:ssb:dispap:124
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    File URL: https://www.ssb.no/a/publikasjoner/pdf/DP/dp_124.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Cerro, Ana María & Ortega, Ana Carolina, 2012. "Sources of Regional Crime Persistence Argentina 1980-2008," MPRA Paper 44482, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Eide, Erling & Rubin, Paul H. & Shepherd, Joanna M., 2006. "Economics of Crime," Foundations and Trends(R) in Microeconomics, now publishers, vol. 2(3), pages 205-279, December.
    3. Cerro, Ana María & Rodríguez Andrés, Antonio, 2011. "Typologies of Crime in the Argentine Provinces. A Panel Study 2000-2008," MPRA Paper 44460, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Lauridsen, Jorgen, 2010. "Is Polish Crime Economically Rational?," Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy, Mid-Continent Regional Science Association, vol. 40(2).
    5. Lauridsen, Jørgen T. & Zeren, Fatma & Ari, Ay?E, 2015. "Is Crime in Turkey Economically Rational?/¿Es económicamente racional el crimen en Turquía?," Estudios de Economía Aplicada, Estudios de Economía Aplicada, vol. 33, pages 37-52, Enero.
    6. Lauridsen, Jørgen T. & Zeren, Fatma & Ari, Ayse, 2014. "Is crime in Turkey economically rational?," Discussion Papers of Business and Economics 3/2014, University of Southern Denmark, Department of Business and Economics.
    7. Jorgen Lauridsen, 2009. "Is Baltic Crime Economically Rational?," Baltic Journal of Economics, Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies, vol. 9(1), pages 31-38, July.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economics of crime; deterrence; equilibrium models; panel data; latent variables; measurement errors.;

    JEL classification:

    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • K14 - Law and Economics - - Basic Areas of Law - - - Criminal Law

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