Are financial crashes predictable?
We critically review recent claims that financial crashes can be predicted using the idea of log-periodic oscillations or by other methods inspired by the physics of critical phenomena. In particular, the October 1997 `correction' does not appear to be the accumulation point of a geometric series of local minima.
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|Date of creation:||Apr 1998|
|Publication status:||Published in Europhysics Letters 45(1), 1-5 (1999)|
|Contact details of provider:|| Postal: 6 boulevard Haussmann, 75009 Paris, FRANCE|
Web page: http://www.science-finance.fr/
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