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Scenarios for an Energy Policy Concept of the German Government

Author

Listed:
  • Nagl, Stephan

    (Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln)

  • Fürsch, Michaela

    (Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln)

  • Paulus, Moritz

    (Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln)

  • Richter, Jan

    (Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln)

  • Trueby, Johannes

    (Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln)

  • Lindenberger, Dietmar

    (Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln)

Abstract

In this working paper we demonstrate how challenging greenhouse gas reduction targets of up to 95% until 2050 can be achieved in the German electricity sector. In the analysis, we focus on the main requirements to reach such challenging targets. To account for interdependencies between the electricity market and the rest of the economy, different models were used to account for feedback loops with all other sectors. We include scenarios with different runtimes and retrofit costs for existing nuclear plants to determine the effects of a prolongation of nuclear power plants in Germany. Key findings for the electricity sector include the importance of a European-wide coordinated electricity grid extension and the exploitation of regional comparative cost effects for renewable sites. Due to political restrictions, nuclear energy will not be available in Germany in 2050. However, the nuclear life time extension has a positive impact on end consumer electricity prices as well as economic growth in the medium term, if retrofit costs do not exceed certain limits.

Suggested Citation

  • Nagl, Stephan & Fürsch, Michaela & Paulus, Moritz & Richter, Jan & Trueby, Johannes & Lindenberger, Dietmar, 2010. "Scenarios for an Energy Policy Concept of the German Government," EWI Working Papers 2010-6, Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln (EWI).
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:ewikln:2010_006
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    File URL: https://www.ewi.uni-koeln.de/cms/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/EWI-WP-10-06-Scenarios-for-an-Energy-Concept.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Viebahn, Peter & Soukup, Ole & Samadi, Sascha & Teubler, Jens & Wiesen, Klaus & Ritthoff, Michael, 2015. "Assessing the need for critical minerals to shift the German energy system towards a high proportion of renewables," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 655-671.
    2. Johannes Truby and Moritz Paulus, 2012. "Market Structure Scenarios in International Steam Coal Trade," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 3).
    3. Wang-Helmreich, Hanna & Lochner, Stefan, 2011. "Natural Gas in Road Transportation - A Low-emission Bridging Technology?," EWI Working Papers 2011-14, Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln (EWI).
    4. Hennings, Wilfried & Mischinger, Stefan & Linssen, Jochen, 2013. "Utilization of excess wind power in electric vehicles," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 139-144.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Roadmap 2050; GHG reduction; renewable energies; carbon capture and storage; power plant fleet optimization;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • Q40 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - General

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