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De l'évaluation du risque de crédit

Author

Listed:
  • Francois-Éric Racicot

    () (Département des sciences administratives, Université du Québec (Outaouais))

  • Raymond Théoret

    () (Département de stratégie des affaires, Université du Québec (Montréal))

Abstract

En recourant de plus en plus aux modèles à forme réduite, la théorie de l'évaluation du risque de crédit se distance de plus en plus de l'ingénierie financière traditionnelle qui donne la part belle aux modèles structurels. Bien qu'ils postulent l'absence d'arbitrage, les modèles à forme réduite reposent sur la distribution des pertes d'une entreprise dans un monde risque-neutre plutôt que sur un processus de diffusion. Il s'ensuit que la faillite n'est pas un processus prévisible comme dans le modèle original de Merton mais survient de façon subite. L'avenir de l'évaluation du risque de crédit semble être du côté des modèles hybrides qui combinent les modèles structurels et les modèles à forme réduite.

Suggested Citation

  • Francois-Éric Racicot & Raymond Théoret, 2005. "De l'évaluation du risque de crédit," RePAd Working Paper Series UQO-DSA-wp0322005, Département des sciences administratives, UQO.
  • Handle: RePEc:pqs:wpaper:0322005
    as

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    File URL: http://www.repad.org/ca/qc/uq/uqo/dsa/Articlemesuredurisquedecredit.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2005
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Black, Fischer & Cox, John C, 1976. "Valuing Corporate Securities: Some Effects of Bond Indenture Provisions," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 31(2), pages 351-367, May.
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    3. Longstaff, Francis A & Schwartz, Eduardo S, 1995. "A Simple Approach to Valuing Risky Fixed and Floating Rate Debt," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(3), pages 789-819, July.
    4. Vasicek, Oldrich, 1977. "An equilibrium characterization of the term structure," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 177-188, November.
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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    évaluation des actifs; risque de crédit; ingénierie financière.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • G33 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Bankruptcy; Liquidation

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