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Gravity model as the tool for internal migration analysis in Poland in 2004-2010

Author

Listed:
  • Michal Bernard Pietrzak

    (Nicolaus Copernicus University, Poland)

  • Justyna Wilk

    (Wroclaw University of Economics, Poland)

  • Stanislaw Matusik

    (University School of Physical Education in Krakow, Poland)

Abstract

Population migration is a long-lasting process affected by many factors. The analysis of its effects is a typical research approach to its interpretation. The object of the paper is to investigate migration phenomenon by means of gravity model application. It helps to explain variations in the level of migration flows between and within regions, to determine its effects and reasons including geographical factor. The analysis covers internal migration in Poland in the period of 2004-2010. Inter- and intraregional flows at NTS-2 level were considered. Two periods of time regarding economic situation in Poland were specified: 2004-2007, 2008-2010. Key economic factors (GDP, capital expenditures, unemployment, wages and salaries) were used as explanatory variables. Distances between regions were determined on their centroids. The research results confirmed that regional economic indicators are the determinants of internal migration directions in Poland whilst overall economic situation affects its intensity. The regions featuring relatively good economic situation are the centres of population inflow (particularly from neighbouring locations) whereas the other perform the role of “demographic resources” for better developed voivodships.

Suggested Citation

  • Michal Bernard Pietrzak & Justyna Wilk & Stanislaw Matusik, 2013. "Gravity model as the tool for internal migration analysis in Poland in 2004-2010," Working Papers 28/2013, Institute of Economic Research, revised Jul 2013.
    • Handle: RePEc:pes:wpaper:2013:no28
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Michal Bernard Pietrzak & Justyna Wilk, 2014. "Metropolitan areas in central Poland and their impact on migration flows," Ekonomia i Prawo, Uniwersytet Mikolaja Kopernika, vol. 13(4), pages 545-558, December.
    2. Michał Bernard Pietrzak & Justyna Wilk, 2014. "An Analysis of the Population Aging Phenomena in Poland from a Spatial Perspective," Statistics in Transition new series, Główny Urząd Statystyczny (Polska), vol. 15(1), pages 153-170, January.
    3. Honorata Bogusz & Szymon Winnicki & Piotr Wójcik, 2020. "What factors determine unequal suburbanisation? New evidence from Warsaw, Poland," Working Papers 2020-34, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
    4. Miroslaw Biczkowski & Iwona Müller-Fraczek & Joanna Muszynska & Michal Bernard Pietrzak & Justyna Wilk, 2014. "The Delimitation Of Bipolar Metropolitan Area Within The Kujawsko-Pomorskie Region," Oeconomia Copernicana, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 5(2), pages 101-122, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    gravity model; internal migration; economic determinants of migration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population

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