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Regional trends in births during the COVID-19 crisis in France, Germany, Italy, and Spain

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  • Arpino, Bruno
  • LUPPI, FRANCESCA
  • Rosina, Alessandro

    (Catholic University of the Sacred Heart)

Abstract

Early evidence shows mixed effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on births in Europe. This study examines changes in births at the regional level in the four European countries that have been affected by the pandemic earlier and to a larger extent. It is also investigated the association between birth changes and some labour market characteristics, the pandemic impact in terms of COVID-deaths, and the share of population at risk of poverty. Results show considerable within-country heterogeneity in birth changes after the pandemic and that higher share of poverty, worse labour market performance, and higher excess mortality are associated with births decline.

Suggested Citation

  • Arpino, Bruno & LUPPI, FRANCESCA & Rosina, Alessandro, 2021. "Regional trends in births during the COVID-19 crisis in France, Germany, Italy, and Spain," SocArXiv mnwh8, Center for Open Science.
    • Handle: RePEc:osf:socarx:mnwh8
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/mnwh8
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Arnstein Aassve & Nicolò Cavalli & Letizia Mencarini & Samuel Plach & Seth Sanders, 2021. "Early assessment of the relationship between the COVID-19 pandemic and births in high-income countries," Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 118(36), pages 2105709118-, September.
    2. LUPPI, FRANCESCA & Arpino, Bruno & Rosina, Alessandro, 2020. "The impact of COVID-19 on fertility plans in Italy, Germany, France, Spain and UK," SocArXiv wr9jb, Center for Open Science.
    3. Sobotka, Tomas & Jasilioniene, Aiva & Galarza, Ainhoa Alustiza & Zeman, Kryštof & Nemeth, Laszlo & Jdanov, Dmitri, 2021. "Baby bust in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic? First results from the new STFF data series," SocArXiv mvy62, Center for Open Science.
    4. Francesca Luppi & Bruno Arpino & Alessandro Rosina, 2020. "The impact of COVID-19 on fertility plans in Italy, Germany, France, Spain, and the United Kingdom," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 43(47), pages 1399-1412.
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