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Optimal Medical Liability for AI

Author

Listed:
  • Alex Chan

Abstract

I study medical liability when artificial intelligence acts as a doctor rather than as a passive clinical tool. The central object is the legally usable medical record: the inputs, logs, warnings, prescriptions, follow-up instructions, and outcomes on which courts, contracts, insurers, and regulators can condition responsibility. I show that AI medical liability is an institutional design problem under imperfect legal information. If the record separates AI-controllable error from patient nonadherence and natural disease progression, high-powered AI-fault liability implements the standard accident-law ideal. If the record is coarse, the first best may be infeasible: the same transfer that disciplines the AI also insures the patient's hidden action. With joint causation, the relevant object is a marginal-responsibility score rather than a posterior cause label. I characterize the feasible set of liability incentives generated by the record and show when the optimal rule is no liability, strict liability, negligence, a safe harbor, comparative fault, or a continuous warranty. I then study algorithmic defensive design, through which AI developers can design not only medical recommendations but also the record on which future liability depends. Adoption, learning, enterprise liability, insurance, no-fault compensation, and regulation enter as ways to change the record, the liable entity, or the financing of compensation. The framework yields conditional implications rather than a one-size-fits-all rule.

Suggested Citation

  • Alex Chan, 2026. "Optimal Medical Liability for AI," NBER Working Papers 35321, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:35321
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D47 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - Market Design
    • D82 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design
    • D86 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Economics of Contract Law
    • D9 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics
    • G22 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Insurance; Insurance Companies; Actuarial Studies
    • I1 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health
    • I13 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Health Insurance, Public and Private
    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health
    • K12 - Law and Economics - - Basic Areas of Law - - - Contract Law
    • K13 - Law and Economics - - Basic Areas of Law - - - Tort Law and Product Liability; Forensic Economics
    • L51 - Industrial Organization - - Regulation and Industrial Policy - - - Economics of Regulation

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