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Assessing the effectiveness of the Italian risk-zones policy during the second wave of Covid-19

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  • Matteo Pelagatti

Abstract

On 4 November 2020 the Italian government introduced a new policy to address the second wave of Covid-19. Based on a battery of indicators, the 21 administrative regions of Italy were assigned a risk level among yellow, orange, red, and, starting on 6 November 2020, different type of restrictions were applied accordingly. In this work, we extract the daily growth rate of new cases, hospitalizations and patients in ICU from official data using an unobserved components model and assess if the different restrictions had different effects in reducing the speed of spread of the virus.

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  • Matteo Pelagatti, 2020. "Assessing the effectiveness of the Italian risk-zones policy during the second wave of Covid-19," Working Papers 457, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2020.
    • Handle: RePEc:mib:wpaper:457
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    1. Shengjie Lai & Nick W. Ruktanonchai & Liangcai Zhou & Olivia Prosper & Wei Luo & Jessica R. Floyd & Amy Wesolowski & Mauricio Santillana & Chi Zhang & Xiangjun Du & Hongjie Yu & Andrew J. Tatem, 2020. "Effect of non-pharmaceutical interventions to contain COVID-19 in China," Nature, Nature, vol. 585(7825), pages 410-413, September.
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    3. Seth Flaxman & Swapnil Mishra & Axel Gandy & H. Juliette T. Unwin & Thomas A. Mellan & Helen Coupland & Charles Whittaker & Harrison Zhu & Tresnia Berah & Jeffrey W. Eaton & Mélodie Monod & Azra C. Gh, 2020. "Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe," Nature, Nature, vol. 584(7820), pages 257-261, August.
    4. Solomon Hsiang & Daniel Allen & Sébastien Annan-Phan & Kendon Bell & Ian Bolliger & Trinetta Chong & Hannah Druckenmiller & Luna Yue Huang & Andrew Hultgren & Emma Krasovich & Peiley Lau & Jaecheol Le, 2020. "The effect of large-scale anti-contagion policies on the COVID-19 pandemic," Nature, Nature, vol. 584(7820), pages 262-267, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Fazio, Andrea & Reggiani, Tommaso & Sabatini, Fabio, 2022. "The political cost of sanctions: Evidence from COVID-19," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 126(9), pages 872-878.
    2. Lucio Palazzo & Riccardo Ievoli, 2023. "Detecting Regional Differences in Italian Health Services during Five COVID-19 Waves," Stats, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-13, April.
    3. Paolo Maranzano & Matteo Maria Pelagatti, 2022. "Spatio-temporal Event Studies for Air Quality Assessment under Cross-sectional Dependence," Papers 2210.17529, arXiv.org.
    4. Massimo Aria & Corrado Cuccurullo & Luca D’Aniello & Michelangelo Misuraca & Maria Spano, 2022. "Thematic Analysis as a New Culturomic Tool: The Social Media Coverage on COVID-19 Pandemic in Italy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-22, March.
    5. Giovanni Busetta & Maria Gabriella Campolo & Demetrio Panarello, 2023. "Economic expectations and anxiety during the COVID-19 pandemic: a one-year longitudinal evaluation on Italian university students," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 57(1), pages 59-76, February.

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