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Within U.S. trade and the long shadow of the american secession

Author

Listed:
  • Felbermayr, Gabriel
  • Gröschl, Jasmin

Abstract

Using data from U.S. commodity flow survey, we show that the historical Union-Confederacy border lowers contemporaneous trade between U.S. states by about 13%. The finding is robust over econometric models, survey waves, or aggregation levels. Including contemporaneous controls, such as network or institutional variables, lowers the estimate only slightly. Historical variables, such as slavery, do not explain the effect. Adding U.S. states unaffected by the Civil War, we argue that the friction is not merely reflecting unmeasured North-South differences. Finally, the border effect is larger for differentiated than for homogeneous goods, stressing the potential role for cultural factors and trust

Suggested Citation

  • Felbermayr, Gabriel & Gröschl, Jasmin, 2014. "Within U.S. trade and the long shadow of the american secession," Munich Reprints in Economics 20587, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:lmu:muenar:20587
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    Cited by:

    1. Cletus C. Coughlin & Dennis Novy, 2021. "Estimating Border Effects: The Impact Of Spatial Aggregation," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 62(4), pages 1453-1487, November.
    2. Li, Zhongda & Liu, Lu, 2025. "Diplomatic relations and agricultural trade," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(2), pages 433-460.
    3. Hinz, Julian, 2017. "The view from space: Theory-based time-varying distances in the gravity model," VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168270, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    4. Tomoya Mori & Jens Wrona, 2018. "Inter-city Trade," KIER Working Papers 995, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
    5. Jhorland Ayala-Garcia & Sandy Dall?Erba & William C. Ridley, 2021. "Externalities of extreme natural disasters on local tax capacity," Documentos de Trabajo Sobre Economía Regional y Urbana 19386, Banco de la República, Economía Regional.
    6. Hoffstadt, Martin, 2022. "The Start of Yugoslavia's Disintegration: Where Borders Cut Commuting Spheres," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-701, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
    7. Tomoya Mori & Jens Wrona, 2021. "Centrality Bias in Inter-city Trade," KIER Working Papers 1056, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
    8. Zhao Chen & Julan Du & Hongli Yang, 2020. "Japanese‐brand auto sales in China under the shadow of oppositional sentiments," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(2), pages 272-305, May.
    9. Yan Ren & Caixia Zong & Xiaoling Zhan, 2024. "Trade war, national sentiment and consumption substitution of cultural products: evidence from China’s film market," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 66(2), pages 503-538, February.
    10. Heid, Benedikt & Langer, Julian & Larch, Mario, 2012. "Income and democracy: Evidence from system GMM estimates," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 116(2), pages 166-169.
    11. Jens Wrona, 2018. "Border Effects Without Borders: What Divides Japan's Internal Trade?," CESifo Working Paper Series 7056, CESifo.
    12. Hoffstadt, Martin, 2022. "The Start of Yugoslavia’s Disintegration: Where Borders Cut Commuting Spheres," MPRA Paper 114594, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Che, Yi & Du, Julan & Lu, Yi & Tao, Zhigang, 2015. "Once an enemy, forever an enemy? The long-run impact of the Japanese invasion of China from 1937 to 1945 on trade and investment," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(1), pages 182-198.
    14. Beestermöller, Matthias & Rauch, Ferdinand, 2018. "A Dissection of Trading Capital: Trade in the Aftermath of the Fall of the Iron Curtain," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 78(2), pages 358-393, June.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • N72 - Economic History - - Economic History: Transport, International and Domestic Trade, Energy, and Other Services - - - U.S.; Canada: 1913-
    • N92 - Economic History - - Regional and Urban History - - - U.S.; Canada: 1913-
    • Z10 - Other Special Topics - - Cultural Economics - - - General

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