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Keeping off the Grass? An Econometric Model of Cannabis Consumption by Young People in Britain

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  • Stephen Pudney

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Abstract

This paper presents estimates of a dynamic individual-level model of cannabis consumption, using data from a 1998 survey of young people in Britain. The econometric model is a split-population generalisation of the non-stationary Poisson process, allowing for a separate dynamic process for initiation into cannabis use. The model allows for heterogeneity in consumption levels and behavioural shifts induced by leaving education and the parental home.

Suggested Citation

  • Stephen Pudney, 2001. "Keeping off the Grass? An Econometric Model of Cannabis Consumption by Young People in Britain," Discussion Papers in Economics 02/9, Department of Economics, University of Leicester, revised Mar 2002.
  • Handle: RePEc:lec:leecon:02/9
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    File URL: http://www.le.ac.uk/economics/research/RePEc/lec/leecon/econ02-9.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Cannabis; Illicit drugs; Transition modelling; Poisson processes; Demand analysis;

    JEL classification:

    • C43 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Index Numbers and Aggregation
    • C82 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data; Data Access
    • K42 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law

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