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FX Intervention in the New Keynesian Model

Author

Listed:
  • Zineddine Alla
  • Mr. Raphael A Espinoza
  • Mr. Atish R. Ghosh

Abstract

We develop an open economy New Keynesian Model with foreign exchange intervention in the presence of a financial accelerator mechanism. We obtain closed-form solutions for the optimal interest rate policy and FX intervention under discretionary policy, in the face of shocks to risk appetite in international capital markets. The solution shows that FX intervention can help reduce the volatility of the economy and mitigate the welfare losses associated with such shocks. We also show that, when the financial accelerator is strong, the risk of multiple equilibria (self-fulfilling currency and inflation movements) is high. We determine the conditions under which indeterminacy can occur and highlight how the use of FX intervention reinforces the central bank’s credibility and limits the risk of multiple equilibria.

Suggested Citation

  • Zineddine Alla & Mr. Raphael A Espinoza & Mr. Atish R. Ghosh, 2017. "FX Intervention in the New Keynesian Model," IMF Working Papers 2017/207, International Monetary Fund.
  • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2017/207
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    Cited by:

    1. Jalali Naini, Ahmad Reza & Naderian, Mohammad Amin, 2017. "Financial Vulnerability and Stabilization Policy in Commodity Exporting Emerging Economies," MPRA Paper 84481, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Carrasco, Alex & Florián Hoyle, David, 2025. "External shocks and FX intervention policy in financially dollarized economies," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    3. Solikin M. Juhro, 2023. "Future Central Banking In Emerging Market Economies," Working Papers WP/01/2023, Bank Indonesia.
    4. Viziniuc, Mădălin, 2021. "Winners and losers of central bank foreign exchange interventions," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 748-767.
    5. Ghiaie, Hamed & Tabarraei, Hamid Reza & Tavakolian, Hossein, 2022. "Alternative monetary policy regimes in an oil-exporting economy," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 161-177.
    6. Yakhin, Yossi, 2025. "Foreign exchange interventions in the New-Keynesian model: Policy, transmission, and welfare," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    7. Adler, Gustavo & Lisack, Noëmie & Mano, Rui C., 2019. "Unveiling the effects of foreign exchange intervention: A panel approach," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 1-1.
    8. Cheng, Penghao & You, Yu, 2025. "U.S. monetary policy spillovers to emerging market countries: Responses to cost-push and natural rate shocks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    9. Ferrari, Alessandro & Nispi Landi, Valerio, 2024. "Whatever it takes to save the planet? Central banks and unconventional green policy," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 28(2), pages 299-324, March.

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