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The Feldstein-Horioka Test of International Capital Mobility: Is it Feasible?

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  • W. J. Jansen

Abstract

Feldstein and Horioka (1980) argued that the correlation of saving and investment in a cross-section of countries may provide a test of global capital mobility. This paper argues that neither the long-run nor the short-run correlation can serve as a reliable basis for such a test. The intertemporal budget constraint implies that each country’s saving and investment should be cointegrated over time. Simulations show that the cross-section regressions used in the literature will produce correlations that strongly tend towards one, regardless of the degree of capital mobility. Although the short-run correlation is not affected by the intertemporal budget constraint, the empirical analysis shows it is primarily a country-specific business cycle fact.

Suggested Citation

  • W. J. Jansen, 1996. "The Feldstein-Horioka Test of International Capital Mobility: Is it Feasible?," IMF Working Papers 1996/100, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:1996/100
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    Cited by:

    1. Manuchehr Irandoust, 2019. "Saving and investment causality: implications for financial integration in transition countries of Eastern Europe," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 16(2), pages 397-416, April.
    2. Kuan-Min Wang & Yuan-Ming Lee & Thanh-Binh Nguyen Thi, 2009. "Business-Cycle Asymmetry and Causality Between Foreign Direct Investment and Fixed Capital Formation," The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, vol. 11(Number Sp), pages 698-721, November.
    3. Christophe Tavéra & Jean-Christophe Poutineau & Jean-Sébastien Pentecôte & Isabelle Cadoret & Arthur Charpentier, 2015. "The “mother of all puzzles” at thirty: A meta-analysis," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 141, pages 80-96.
    4. repec:cii:cepiei:2015-q1-141-5 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Taylor, Alan M., 2002. "A century of current account dynamics," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(6), pages 725-748, November.
    6. Paul De Grauwe & Magdalena Polan, 2000. "Increased Capital Mobility - A Challenge for National Macroeconomic Policies," International Economics Working Papers Series wpie012, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Centrum voor Economische Studiën, International Economics.
    7. Eiriksson, Agust A., 2011. "The saving-investment correlation and origins of productivity shocks," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 40-47, January.
    8. Apergis, Nicholas & Tsoumas, Chris, 2009. "A survey of the Feldstein-Horioka puzzle: What has been done and where we stand," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(2), pages 64-76, June.
    9. Malgorzata Jakubiak & Pawel Kaczorowski & Joanna Siwinska-Gorzelak & Tomasz Tokarski, 1999. "Private, Public and Foreign Savings," CASE Network Studies and Analyses 0186, CASE-Center for Social and Economic Research.

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