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Development of navigation services and Devices – evidence from a case study in Russia

Author

Listed:
  • Mikhail Bokov

    () (Department for Sociological Studies, Institute for Statistical Studies and Economics of Knowledge, National Research University Higher School of Economics)

  • Anastasia Edelkina

    () (Department of Business Projects, Institute for Statistical Studies and Economics of Knowledge, National Research University Higher School of Economics)

  • Marina Klubova

    () (International Research and Educational Foresight Centre, Institute for Statistical Studies and Economics of Knowledge, National Research University Higher School of Economics)

  • Thomas Thurner

    () (Laboratory for Economics of Innovation, Institute for Statistical Studies and Economics of Knowledge, National Research University Higher School of Economics)

  • Natalia Velikanova

    () (Department for Monitoring of Education Economy, Institute for Statistical Studies and Economics of Knowledge, National Research University Higher School of Economics)

  • Konstantin Vishnevskiy

    () (Laboratory for Science and Technology Studies, Institute for Statistical Studies and Economics of Knowledge, National Research University Higher School of Economics)

Abstract

The paper assesses the development of the market for navigation services and devices based on the results of a recently held Foresight exercise on monitoring of global technology trends. The future of the market for Global navigation satellite systems (GNSS) devices is largely influenced by grand challenges (i.e. lifestyle change, technical safety, urbanization, rural development, food security, etc.) that determine the pathway for extending use of GNSS signal in different sectors of the economy. Today, satellite positioning technology is used by transporters, carriers, motorists, surveyors, builders, etc. through a wide array of devices — like mobile phones or multimedia devices with built-in receiver modules. Different Foresight methods and tools were used for analyzing the market structure and volumes of navigation services and devices and to detect potential future market developments. The main technical characteristics of GNSS are compared in order to reveal their impact on the quality of the navigation signal essential for the end-users. Investigating the future dynamics of this market in Russia on the basis of expert estimations and governmental strategic documents, the authors conclude that the commercialization of GNSS in Russia is possible only in certain segments, mainly navigation modules for personal vehicles, surveying and mapping equipment as well as consumer electronics

Suggested Citation

  • Mikhail Bokov & Anastasia Edelkina & Marina Klubova & Thomas Thurner & Natalia Velikanova & Konstantin Vishnevskiy, 2013. "Development of navigation services and Devices – evidence from a case study in Russia," HSE Working papers WP BRP 22/STI/2013, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:hig:wpaper:22sti2013
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    Keywords

    navigation services and devices; market development; GNSS; vehicles; consumer electronics; surveying and mapping equipment; Foresight;

    JEL classification:

    • L80 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - General
    • L92 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Railroads and Other Surface Transportation
    • L16 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Industrial Organization and Macroeconomics; Macroeconomic Industrial Structure
    • O38 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Government Policy
    • M31 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Marketing and Advertising - - - Marketing

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