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Dynamics of Innovation and Risk

Author

Listed:
  • B. Biais

    (BFP - Biologie du fruit et pathologie - Université Bordeaux Segalen - Bordeaux 2 - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique - UB - Université Sciences et Technologies - Bordeaux 1)

  • J.-C. Rochet

    (MAP5 - UMR 8145 - Mathématiques Appliquées Paris 5 - UPD5 - Université Paris Descartes - Paris 5 - INSMI-CNRS - Institut National des Sciences Mathématiques et de leurs Interactions - CNRS Mathématiques - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • P. Woolley

Abstract

We study the dynamics of an innovative industry in which agents learn about the likelihood of negative shocks. Managers can exert risk prevention effort to mitigate the consequences of shocks. If no shock occurs, confidence improves, attracting managers to the innovative sector. But, when confidence becomes high, inefficient managers exerting low risk-prevention effort also enter. This stimulates growth, while reducing risk prevention. The longer the boom, the larger the losses if a shock occurs. Although these dynamics arise in the first-best, asymmetric information generates excessive entry of inefficient managers, earning informational rents, inflating the innovative sector, and increasing its vulnerability

Suggested Citation

  • B. Biais & J.-C. Rochet & P. Woolley, 2015. "Dynamics of Innovation and Risk," Post-Print halshs-01400249, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-01400249
    DOI: 10.1093/rfs/hhv003
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Basak, Deepal & Murray, Alexander & Zhao, Yunhui, 2017. "Does Financial Tranquility Call for More Stringent Regulation?," MPRA Paper 81373, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Wei, Jianxing & Xu, Tong, 2024. "Banking supervision with loopholes," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    4. Ulf Axelson & Philip Bond, 2015. "Wall Street Occupations," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 70(5), pages 1949-1996, October.
    5. Yuming Zhai & Zhenghuan Cai & Han Lin & Ming Yuan & Ye Mao & Mingchuan Yu, 2022. "Does better environmental, social, and governance induce better corporate green innovation: The mediating role of financing constraints," Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 29(5), pages 1513-1526, September.
    6. Jianxing Wei & Tong Xu, 2018. "A Model of Bank Credit Cycles," 2018 Meeting Papers 610, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    7. Ni, Jian & Xu, Yue & Shi, Jia & Li, Jiali, 2024. "Product innovation in a supply chain with information asymmetry: Is more private information always worse?," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 314(1), pages 229-240.
    8. Shahab, Yasir & Tianzi, Wang & Hussain, Tanveer & Kumar, Satish, 2023. "Foreign experience and audit report lag," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    9. Deepal Basak & Mr. Yunhui Zhao, 2018. "Does Financial Tranquility Call for Stringent Regulation?," IMF Working Papers 2018/123, International Monetary Fund.
    10. Enrico Perotti & Magdalena Rola-Janicka, 2022. "The Good, the Bad, and the Missed Boom," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 35(11), pages 5025-5056.

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