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Gouvernance, éthique du policy maker et dynamiques macroéconomiques en régime de Currency Board : le cas de Djibouti

Author

Listed:
  • Ismeal Mahamoud

    (CRUD - Centre de Recherches de l'Université de Djibouti - Université de Djibouti)

  • Houmed Mohamed

    (CREG - Centre de recherche en économie de Grenoble - UPMF - Université Pierre Mendès France - Grenoble 2)

  • Jean-François Ponsot

    (CREG - Centre de recherche en économie de Grenoble - UPMF - Université Pierre Mendès France - Grenoble 2)

Abstract

This communication focuses on the Djibouti monetary system based on the currency board. We highlight the conditions of its emergence, and stability after independence. This system certainly has the advantage of relying on a monetary rule limiting drifts economic policy. It establishes a dynamic development based not on the discretion, but the rules of convertibility and coverage of foreign exchange reserves. The anchoring of expectations does not have to be confronted with the ethics of policy maker and respect for good governance criteria. However, the risk of a stall with the reference currency -i.e. the US dollar- exist given excessive external debt and structural budget deficit and the current account. Add to that the weak governance in the management of public affairs. Simulations of the sustainability of external debt indicate that risks are important.

Suggested Citation

  • Ismeal Mahamoud & Houmed Mohamed & Jean-François Ponsot, 2014. "Gouvernance, éthique du policy maker et dynamiques macroéconomiques en régime de Currency Board : le cas de Djibouti," Post-Print halshs-01284797, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-01284797
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-01284797
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Moustapha AMAN & Ismeal MAHAMOUD & Nikolay NENOVSKY, 2013. "Le système informel de transferts de fonds et le mécanisme automatique du Currency Board : complémentarité ou antagonisme ? Le cas des transferts des hawalas à Djibouti," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 2249, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
    2. Romain Veyrune, 2004. "Les caisses d’émission modernes sont-elles orthodoxes ?," Revue d'Économie Financière, Programme National Persée, vol. 75(2), pages 71-84.
    3. Holger C. Wolf & Atish R. Ghosh & Helge Berger & Anne-Marie Gulde, 2008. "Currency Boards in Retrospect and Prospect," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262232650, December.
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