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Vieillissement de la population en Italie et efficacité des réformes Amato et Dini : un modèle d'équilibre général à générations imbriquées

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  • Riccardo Magnani

    (THEMA - Théorie économique, modélisation et applications - Université de Cergy Pontoise - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

L'objectif de ce papier est d'analyser les impacts du vieillissement de la population italienne sur le système économique et en particulier sur le système de retraite afin d'évaluer l'efficacité des réformes mises en place durant les années 90 (réforme Amato en 1992 et réforme Dini en 1995). Un modèle d'équilibre général à générations imbriquées a été construit pour évaluer, d'un côté, les impacts macroéconomiques et, de l'autre, l'évolution du système de retraite en termes de déficit financier et d'équité intergénérationnelle.

Suggested Citation

  • Riccardo Magnani, 2006. "Vieillissement de la population en Italie et efficacité des réformes Amato et Dini : un modèle d'équilibre général à générations imbriquées," Post-Print halshs-00628134, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00628134 Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-00628134
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. François Bourguignon & Amedeo Spadaro, 2006. "Microsimulation as a tool for evaluating redistribution policies," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, pages 77-106.
    2. Sebastian Rausch & Thomas Rutherford, 2010. "Computation of Equilibria in OLG Models with Many Heterogeneous Households," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 36(2), pages 171-189, August.
    3. Luc Savard, 2003. "Poverty and Income Distribution in a CGE-Household Micro-Simulation Model: Top-Down/Bottom Up Approach," Cahiers de recherche 0343, CIRPEE.
    4. Zvi Eckstein & Kenneth I. Wolpin, 1989. "Dynamic Labour Force Participation of Married Women and Endogenous Work Experience," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 56(3), pages 375-390.
    5. Zvi Eckstein & Kenneth I. Wolpin, 1989. "The Specification and Estimation of Dynamic Stochastic Discrete Choice Models: A Survey," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 24(4), pages 562-598.
    6. Train,Kenneth E., 2009. "Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521747387, March.
    7. Arntz, Melanie & Boeters, Stefan & Gurtzgen, Nicole, 2006. "Alternative approaches to discrete working time choice in an AGE framework," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 23(6), pages 1008-1032, December.
    8. Arntz, Melanie & Boeters, Stefan & Gürtzgen, Nicole & Schubert, Stefanie, 2008. "Analysing welfare reform in a microsimulation-AGE model: The value of disaggregation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 25(3), pages 422-439, May.
    9. Fougere, Maxime & Mercenier, Jean & Merette, Marcel, 2007. "A sectoral and occupational analysis of population ageing in Canada using a dynamic CGE overlapping generations model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 690-711, July.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. R. Magnani, 2005. "Retirement age, immigration or pension benefits ? An applied general equilibrium evaluation of a pension reform in an ageing context (the Italian case)," THEMA Working Papers 2005-11, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
    2. Mouez Fodha & Patricia Le Maitre, 2007. "Transition démographique, chômage involontaire et redistribution intergénérationnelle : simulations dans un cadre d'équilibre général à générations imbriquées," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne v07011, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
    3. repec:hal:journl:halshs-00144652 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Magnani, Riccardo, 2011. "A general equilibrium evaluation of the sustainability of the new pension reforms in Italy," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(1), pages 5-35, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    pension system; overlapping generations; applied general equilibrium; immigration; endogenous growth;

    JEL classification:

    • D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
    • H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions
    • J10 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - General

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