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Banking stability, natural disasters, and state fragility: Panel VAR evidence from developing countries

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  • Pedro Albuquerque

    (KEDGE Business School [Marseille], AMSE - Aix-Marseille Sciences Economiques - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - AMU - Aix Marseille Université - ECM - École Centrale de Marseille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Wassim Rajhi

    (Independent Researcher)

Abstract

Panel VAR methodology is used in this study to empirically evaluate the effects of natural disasters and state fragility on economic and financial dimensions in developing countries such as GDP per capita, banking and financial system deposits, banks' Z-scores, and non-performing loans. Results based on three panels of up to 66 countries and 17 years of annual data indicate that natural disasters and state fragility may cause significant economic and financial disruption in low-income and middle-income countries. Shocks from natural disasters seem to be temporary and detrimental only to non-performing loans, while shocks from state fragility appear to be permanent and to create detrimental economic and financial feedback loops.

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  • Pedro Albuquerque & Wassim Rajhi, 2019. "Banking stability, natural disasters, and state fragility: Panel VAR evidence from developing countries," Post-Print hal-02270791, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02270791
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2019.06.001
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://amu.hal.science/hal-02270791
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Banking stability; GDP per capita; Natural disasters; State fragility;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • O57 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Comparative Studies of Countries

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