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Глобальный Кризис и Вызовы Экономической Политики Современной России (Global Crisis and the Economic Policy Challenges of Modern Russia)

Listed author(s):
  • Vladimir Mau

    (RANEPA)

  • Sergey Ulyukaev

    (RANEPA)

The global crisis creates a new economic and political agenda. It requires a rethinking of many of the conclusions of economic theory and practice, which is still considered to be accepted. The paper analyzes the key issues of economic development in the medium term. Among the important for the formation of a new model of economic growth problems are considered: the rate of growth and the likelihood of long-term stagnation, new challenges to macroeconomic policies in connection with a wide spread of its unconventional tools, inequality and economic growth, the contours of the new social state, perspectives of globalization, as well as re-industrialization in developed countries. On this basis, analyzes the nature and causes of the crisis in the Russian economy, compared crises 2008-2009 and 2014-2015 years., There are three main components of the latter. We consider the effects and impact of sanctions on the change in the economic situation in the country, the medium-term structural growth constraints. Examples of medium- and long-term measures that will help to reverse the current trends and bring the economy on the path of sustainable development. Глобальный кризис формирует новую экономико-политическую повестку. Она требует переосмысления многих выводов экономической теории и практики, которые до сих пор считались общепринятыми. В работе анализируются ключевые вопросы экономического развития на среднесрочную перспективу. В числе важных для формирования новой модели экономического роста проблемы рассматриваются: темпы роста и вероятность долгосрочной стагнации, новые вызовы макроэкономической политики в связи с широким распространением ее нетрадиционных инструментов, неравенство и экономический рост, контуры нового социального государства, перспективы глобализации, а также реиндустриализации в развитых странах. На этой основе анализируются характер и причины кризисных явлений в российской экономике, сопоставляются кризисы 2008–2009 и 2014–2015 гг., выделяются три основные компоненты последнего. Рассматриваются эффекты и влияние санкций на изменение экономической ситуации в стране, структурные среднесрочные ограничения темпов роста. Приводятся примеры средне- и долгосрочных мер, которые помогут переломить существующие тенденции и вывести экономику на траекторию устойчивого развития..

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File URL: http://www.iep.ru/files/RePEc/gai/wpaper/126Mau.pdf
File Function: Revised version, 2015
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Paper provided by Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy in its series Working Papers with number 126.

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Length: 64 pages
Date of creation: 2015
Date of revision: 2015
Handle: RePEc:gai:wpaper:126
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