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Efficient Estimation of a Semiparametric Characteristic-Based Factor Model of Security Returns

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  • Gregory Connor

  • Oliver Linton

  • Matthias Hagmann

Abstract

This paper develops a new estimation procedure for characteristic-based factor models of security returns. We treat the factor model as a weighted additive nonparametric regression model, with the factor returns serving as time-varying weights, and a set of univariate non-parametric functions relating security characteristic to the associated factor betas. We use a time-series and cross-sectional pooled weighted additive nonparametric regression methodology to simultaneously estimate the factor returns and characteristic-beta functions. By avoiding the curse of dimensionality our methodology allows for a larger number of factors than existing semiparametric methods. We apply the technique to the three-factor Fama-French model, Carhart’s four-factor extension of it adding a momentum factor, and a five-factor extension adding an own-volatility factor. We .nd that momentum and own-volatility factors are at least as important if not more important than size and value in explaining equity return comovements. We test the multifactor beta pricing theory against the Capital Asset Pricing model using a standard test, and against a general alternative using a new nonparametric test.Keywords: Additive Models; Arbitrage pricing theory; Factor model; Fama-French; Kernel estimation; Nonparametric regression; Panel data.JEL codes: G12, C14.

Suggested Citation

  • Gregory Connor & Oliver Linton & Matthias Hagmann, 2007. "Efficient Estimation of a Semiparametric Characteristic-Based Factor Model of Security Returns," FMG Discussion Papers dp599, Financial Markets Group.
  • Handle: RePEc:fmg:fmgdps:dp599
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Lyuou & Zhou, Wen & Wang, Haonan, 2021. "A semiparametric latent factor model for large scale temporal data with heteroscedasticity," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    2. Gagliardini, Patrick & Ossola, Elisa & Scaillet, Olivier, 2020. "Estimation of large dimensional conditional factor models in finance," Handbook of Econometrics, in: Steven N. Durlauf & Lars Peter Hansen & James J. Heckman & Rosa L. Matzkin (ed.), Handbook of Econometrics, edition 1, volume 7, chapter 0, pages 219-282, Elsevier.
    3. Yuan Liao & Xiye Yang, 2017. "Uniform Inference for Characteristic Effects of Large Continuous-Time Linear Models," Papers 1711.04392, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2018.
    4. French, Declan & Wu, Yuliang & Li, Youwei, 2016. "Identifying the relative importance of stock characteristics," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 80-91.
    5. Jianqing Fan & Yuan Liao & Han Liu, 2016. "An overview of the estimation of large covariance and precision matrices," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 19(1), pages 1-32, February.
    6. Jaeheon Jung, 2019. "Estimating a Large Covariance Matrix in Time-varying Factor Models," Papers 1910.11965, arXiv.org.
    7. Yang, Shuquan & Ling, Nengxiang, 2023. "Robust projected principal component analysis for large-dimensional semiparametric factor modeling," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
    8. Ge, S. & Li, S. & Linton, O., 2020. "A Dynamic Network of Arbitrage Characteristics," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2060, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    9. Li, Kunpeng & Li, Qi & Lu, Lina, 2018. "Quasi maximum likelihood analysis of high dimensional constrained factor models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 206(2), pages 574-612.
    10. Xu, R. & Fan, Q., 2025. "Single-Index Quantile Factor Model with Observed Characteristics," Janeway Institute Working Papers 2524, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    11. Gagliardini, Patrick & Gourieroux, Christian, 2014. "Efficiency In Large Dynamic Panel Models With Common Factors," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 30(5), pages 961-1020, October.
    12. Gong, Xiaomin & Xie, Fei & Zhou, Zhongsheng & Zhang, Chenyang, 2024. "The enhanced benefits of ESG in portfolios: A multi-factor model perspective based on LightGBM," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    13. Connor, G. & Li, S. & Linton, O., 2020. "A Dynamic Semiparametric Characteristics-based Model for Optimal Portfolio Selection," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 20103, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    14. Georg Keilbar & Juan M. Rodriguez-Poo & Alexandra Soberon & Weining Wang, 2022. "A projection based approach for interactive fixed effects panel data models," Papers 2201.11482, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2025.
    15. Jianqing Fan & Kunpeng Li & Yuan Liao, 2020. "Recent Developments on Factor Models and its Applications in Econometric Learning," Papers 2009.10103, arXiv.org.
    16. Gregory Connor & Lisa R. Goldberg & Robert A. Korajczyk, 2010. "Portfolio Risk Analysis," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 9224.
    17. Park, Byeong U. & Mammen, Enno & Härdle, Wolfgang & Borak, Szymon, 2009. "Time Series Modelling With Semiparametric Factor Dynamics," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 104(485), pages 284-298.

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    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General

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