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Alternative Models of Interest Rate Pass-Through in Normal and Negative Territory

Author

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  • Mauricio Ulate

Abstract

In the aftermath of the Great Recession, many countries used low or negative policy rates to stimulate the economy. These policies gave rise to a rapidly growing literature that seeks to understand and quantify their impact. A fundamental step when studying the effectiveness of low and negative policy rates is to understand their transmission to loan and deposit rates. This paper proposes two models of pass-through from policy rates to loan and deposit rates that can match important stylized facts while remaining parsimonious. These models can be used to study the transition between positive and negative policy rates and to quantify the impact of negative rates on banks.

Suggested Citation

  • Mauricio Ulate, 2020. "Alternative Models of Interest Rate Pass-Through in Normal and Negative Territory," Working Paper Series 2020-31, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedfwp:88826
    DOI: 10.24148/wp2020-31
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    Cited by:

    1. Mattia Girotti & Guillaume Horny & Jean-Guillaume Sahuc, 2022. "Lost in Negative Territory? Search for Yield!," Working papers 877, Banque de France.
    2. Altavilla, Carlo & Burlon, Lorenzo & Giannetti, Mariassunta & Holton, Sarah, 2022. "Is there a zero lower bound? The effects of negative policy rates on banks and firms," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(3), pages 885-907.
    3. Altavilla, Carlo & Gürkaynak, Refet S. & Quaedvlieg, Rogier, 2024. "Macro and micro of external finance premium and monetary policy transmission," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(S).
    4. de Groot, Oliver & Haas, Alexander, 2023. "The signalling channel of negative interest rates," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 87-103.
    5. Serdavaa, Batkhurel, 2025. "Cross-country panel analysis justifying tighter control over short-term interest rates," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    6. Simon Kwan & Mauricio Ulate & Ville Voutilainen, 2025. "The Transmission of Negative Nominal Interest Rates in Finland," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 23(5), pages 1809-1837.
    7. Repullo, Rafael, 2020. "The Deposits Channel of Monetary Policy: A Critical Review," CEPR Discussion Papers 15553, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    8. Yang, Yuanyuan & Liu, Yuxin & Yin, Lei & Wang, Jianjun, 2024. "Does macro-prudential regulation lead to low interest rate? An empirical analysis based on the transnational panel model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    9. Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Kok, Christoffer & Rottner, Matthias, 2023. "Reversal interest rate and macroprudential policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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