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The euro - what's in it for me? An economic analysis of the Swedish euro referendum of 2003

Author

Listed:
  • Lars Jonung
  • Jonas Vlachos

Abstract

The Swedish referendum on the euro in September 2003 is an exceptional event for researchers of monetary unions and of European economic integration. Voters chose between maintaining the domestic currency, the krona, and replacing it with the euro, the single currency of the European Union. The referendum revealed significant dividing lines between Yes- and No-voters in areas such as income, education, sex, employment, geographical location and industrial structure. The aim of this study is to explain the large differences in voting behaviour. The empirical analysis of the referendum outcome is based on the traditional optimum currency area (OCA) approach, merged with an account of the distributional effects of Swedish membership of the euro area as they were perceived by the voters. The OCA approach builds upon the trade-off between reducing transaction costs by entering a monetary union, thus increasing trade and income, and obtaining macroeconomic insurance by having a domestic currency with a flexible exchange rate. This trade-off was perceived differently by voters depending on their evaluations of the costs or risks and the benefits or gains of adopting the euro versus keeping the krona, the domestic currency.

Suggested Citation

  • Lars Jonung & Jonas Vlachos, 2007. "The euro - what's in it for me? An economic analysis of the Swedish euro referendum of 2003," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 296, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
  • Handle: RePEc:euf:ecopap:0296
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    File URL: http://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/publications/pages/publication10967_en.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. J. James Reade & Ulrich Volz, 2009. "Too Much to Lose, or More to Gain? Should Sweden Join the Euro?," Economics Series Working Papers 442, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.

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