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The Impact of Free Trade Agreements in Asia

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  • Kenichi Kawasaki

Abstract

This paper discusses a quantitative simulation analysis on the impact of Japan's FTAs in Asia using a CGE model of global trade. It has been argued that a regional FTA would be a step toward global trade liberalization rather than a final goal. In fact, it is shown that changes in sectoral trade balance and production would vary according to the partners in Japan's FTAs in Asia deviating from those expected in global trade liberalization. Moreover, the terms of trade effects would be relatively significant in determining the overall welfare impacts in partial trade liberalization. On the other hand, capital formation mechanisms, one through dynamic capital accumulation and another through international capital movements, are shown to be particularly important for macroeconomic gains in several ASEAN countries. It is suggested that liberalization and facilitation of not just the trade of goods but also investment would be essential for economic partnerships in Asia.

Suggested Citation

  • Kenichi Kawasaki, 2003. "The Impact of Free Trade Agreements in Asia," Discussion papers 03018, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    • Handle: RePEc:eti:dpaper:03018
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    File URL: https://www.rieti.go.jp/jp/publications/dp/03e018.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Lim, Byeong-ho, 2022. "Re-Evaluation of Free Trade Agreement: Based on Regional Value Contents in Agricultural, Fishery and Livestock products," Conference papers 333476, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    2. ANDO Mitsuyo, 2009. "Impacts of FTAs in East Asia: CGE Simulation Analysis," Discussion papers 09037, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    3. Buhara Aslan & Merve Mavus Kutuk & Arif Oduncu, 2015. "Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership and Trans-Pacific Partnership: Policy Options of China," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 23(6), pages 22-43, November.
    4. Asci, Serhat C. & Paggi, Mechel & Yamazaki, Fumiko, 2016. "Implications of Trans-Pacific Partnership for the US Dairy Industry," International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, International Food and Agribusiness Management Association, vol. 19(B), pages 1-16, August.
    5. Wang, Zhi & Gehlhar, Mark & Yao, Shunli, 2006. "Estimating Hong Kong Re-export Markups and Reconciling Trade Statistics from China, Hong Kong and Their Major Trading Partners - A Mathematical Programming Approach," Conference papers 331486, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.

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