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Managing Prolonged Low Fertility: The Case of Singapore

  • Amarendu Nandy

    ()

  • Mukul. G Asher
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    This paper analyzes Singapore’s multi-pronged approach to managing prolonged low fertility which has led to population aging, labor force shortages, increasing elderly dependency ratios, and feminization of the elderly population. This approach has emphasized high growth, and has given priority to becoming an attractive business location over providing adequate and equitable retirement and health financing; and has pursued policies designed to generate high levels of net immigration. The chosen policy priorities have created a dilemma centering on ensuring Singapore’s business competitiveness on the one hand, and meeting its residents’ needs and expectations on the other. In spite of many measures to boost fertility levels (official Total Fertility Rate was 1.29 in 2007, a rate at which population is reduced by 50% in 45 years), as well as high net immigration, population aging is expected to accelerate after 2010. This, along with high income inequalities (Gini coefficient was 0.52 in 2005), will make continuation of current policy priorities even more challenging for the policymakers. While future policy developments are difficult to predict, greater political contestability is likely to hasten the path toward policy priorities which give greater weight to the needs and expectations of the current Singapore residents, even if that leads to lower (but more sustainable and socially cohesive) growth.[ADBI DP NO 114]

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    Paper provided by eSocialSciences in its series Working Papers with number id:1949.

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    Date of creation: May 2009
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    Handle: RePEc:ess:wpaper:id:1949
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    1. Gordon, Linda, 2008. "Fatal misconception: the struggle to control world population Matthew Connelly. Cambridge, MA: Belknap Press of Harvard University Press, 2008. Pp. xiv + 521. Hardback £22.95, ISBN 978-0-674-02423-6," Journal of Global History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 3(03), pages 475-476, November.
    2. International Monetary Fund, 2006. "Singapore; Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 06/151, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Blake, David & Cairns, Andrew & Dowd, Kevin, 2008. "Turning pension plans into pension planes: What investment strategy designers of defined contribution pension plans can learn from commercial aircraft designers," MPRA Paper 33749, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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