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Ageing of skills and complementary immigration in the EU, 2010-2025

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  • Ashley McCormick

Abstract

This paper measures both population ageing and shrinking within the working age populations of all 27 European Union countries between 2010 and 2025, in the absence of any further migration. In this ‘no migration scenario’ it provides the levels of net migration that should be necessary to maintain the size of the young working age population (aged 15-44 years of age). This paper does not give analytic focus to wider non-demographic processes that can either offset or amplify the ageing of skills. For example, neither the introduction of life-long learning programmes nor the postponements to the legal age of retirement are factored into the model. Results highlight that without migrants shows the employed population aged below 45 in all EU member states will have significant levels of shortfall in maintaining the size of the 2010 labour force.

Suggested Citation

  • Ashley McCormick, 2013. "Ageing of skills and complementary immigration in the EU, 2010-2025," EUI-RSCAS Working Papers p0353, European University Institute (EUI), Robert Schuman Centre of Advanced Studies (RSCAS).
  • Handle: RePEc:erp:euirsc:p0353
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/1814/28643
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    File URL: http://cadmus.eui.eu/bitstream/handle/1814/28643/RSCAS_2013_81.pdf?sequence=1
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    Cited by:

    1. Quinn, Emma & Gusciute, Egle & Barrett, Alan, 2015. "Determining Labour and Skills Shortages and the Need for Labour Migration in Ireland," Research Series, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number RS49.
    2. Zaiceva, A. & Zimmermann, K.F., 2016. "Migration and the Demographic Shift," Handbook of the Economics of Population Aging, Elsevier.

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