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Trends and dynamics of economic growth: empirical analysis of India and Singapore

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  • Zhang, Yuqian

Abstract

This paper investigates the multifaceted dynamics of economic growth in India and Singapore over a span of 50 years, utilizing the Solow and Romer models to decompose growth into its core components: total factor productivity (TFP), capital, and labor. Through a detailed growth accounting methodology, we analyze how these elements contribute distinctly to the GDP trajectories of these two contrasting economies. Our analysis reveals that while both labor expansion and capital accumulation play pivotal roles in short-term growth, it is the enhancement of TFP that emerges as the crucial determinant of sustainable economic progress over the long term. In Singapore, a developed economy characterized by its status as one of the Asian Tigers, TFP and labor productivity have been the primary drivers of its more consistent and long-term growth. Conversely, Indias growth has been more influenced by capital accumulation, particularly following economic liberalizations that spurred foreign investment and industrial diversification. The findings underscore the importance of TFP growth in both developing and mature economies, highlighting its significance in policy formulation aimed at stimulating economic development. This study not only charts a historical analysis of growth patterns but also aligns them with theoretical underpinnings that suggest pathways for future economic strategies in similar emerging and developed markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhang, Yuqian, 2024. "Trends and dynamics of economic growth: empirical analysis of India and Singapore," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 127021, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    • Handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:127021
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    File URL: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/127021/
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Robert M. Solow, 1956. "A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 70(1), pages 65-94.
    2. Chang-Tai Hsieh & Peter J. Klenow, 2009. "Misallocation and Manufacturing TFP in China and India," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 124(4), pages 1403-1448.
    3. Miller, Stephen M. & Upadhyay, Mukti P., 2000. "The effects of openness, trade orientation, and human capital on total factor productivity," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(2), pages 399-423, December.
    4. Peter J. Klenow & Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, 1997. "The Neoclassical Revival in Growth Economics: Has It Gone Too Far?," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1997, Volume 12, pages 73-114, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. M. Renuka & K. P. Kalirajan, 1999. "On measuring total factor productivity growth in Singapore's manufacturing industries," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(5), pages 295-298.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Solow growth model; growth accounting; TFP growth; Romer model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
    • C82 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data; Data Access
    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production

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