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Hedging speculation, and investment in balance-sheet triggered currency crises

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  • Röthig, Andreas
  • Semmler, Willi
  • Flaschel, Peter

Abstract

This paper explores the linkage between corporate risk management strategies, investment, and economic stability in an open economy with a flexible exchange rate regime. Firms use currency futures contracts to manage their exchange rate exposure – caused by balance sheet effects as in Krugman (2000) – and therefore their investments’ sensitivity to currency risk. We find that, depending on whether futures contracts are used for risk reduction (i.e., hedging) or risk taking (i.e., speculation), the implied magnitudes of recessions and booms are decreased or increased. Corporate risk management can therefore substantially affect economic stability on the macrolevel.

Suggested Citation

  • Röthig, Andreas & Semmler, Willi & Flaschel, Peter, 2008. "Hedging speculation, and investment in balance-sheet triggered currency crises," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 77472, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
  • Handle: RePEc:dar:wpaper:77472
    Note: for complete metadata visit http://tubiblio.ulb.tu-darmstadt.de/77472/
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    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems

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