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Monetary policy transmission in China: A DSGE model with parallel shadow banking and interest rate control

Author

Listed:
  • Michael Funke

    (Hamburg University and CESifo)

  • Petar Mihaylovski

    (Hamburg University)

  • Haibin Zhu

    (JP Morgan Chase Bank)

Abstract

The paper sheds light on the interplay between monetary policy, the commercial banking sector and the shadow banking sector in mainland China by means of a nonlinear stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with occasionally binding constraints. In particular, we analyze the impacts of interest rate liberalization on monetary policy transmission as well as the dynamics of the parallel shadow banking sector. Comparison of various interest rate liberalization scenarios reveals that monetary policy results in increased feed-through to the lending and investment under complete liberalization. Furthermore, tighter regulation of interest rates in the commercial banking sector in China leads to an increase in loans provided by the shadow banking sector.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael Funke & Petar Mihaylovski & Haibin Zhu, "undated". "Monetary policy transmission in China: A DSGE model with parallel shadow banking and interest rate control," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2016_007, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
    • Handle: RePEc:cth:wpaper:gru_2016_007
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    Cited by:

    1. Li, Weixue & Wang, Sipei & Cheung, Adrian (Wai Kong) & Xu, Changsheng, 2024. "Shadow banking, investment and interest rate transmission: Evidence from macroprudential policy in China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 115-133.
    2. Zhang, Yuhua & Niu, Yingjie & Wu, Ting, 2020. "Stochastic interest rates under rational inattention," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    3. Chaowei Wang & Vo Phuong Mai Le & Kent Matthews & Peng Zhou, 2021. "Shadow banking activity and entrusted loans in a DSGE model of China," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 89(5), pages 445-469, September.
    4. Chunping Liu & Zhirong Ou, 2021. "What determines China's housing price dynamics? New evidence from a DSGE‐VAR," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3269-3305, July.
    5. Wan, Xiaoli & Margaritis, Dimitris, 2024. "Shadow banking and loan pricing of commercial banks: Evidence from China," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    6. Vo Phuong Mai Le & Kent Matthews & David Meenagh & Patrick Minford & Zhiguo Xiao, 2021. "China’s market economy, shadow banking and the frequency of growth slowdown," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 89(5), pages 420-444, September.
    7. Tsang, Andrew, 2021. "Uncovering Heterogeneous Regional Impacts of Chinese Monetary Policy," WiSo-HH Working Paper Series 62, University of Hamburg, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences, WISO Research Laboratory.
    8. Damien Cubizol, 2017. "Transition and capital misallocation: the Chinese case," Working Papers halshs-01176919, HAL.
    9. Cubizol, Damien, 2020. "Rebalancing in China: A taxation approach," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    10. Chunping Liu & Zhirong Ou, 2017. "What determines China's housing price dynamics? New evidence from a DSGE-VAR," NBS Discussion Papers in Economics 2017/04, Economics, Nottingham Business School, Nottingham Trent University.
    11. sheunesu zhou, 2020. "Shadow Banking, Bank Liquidity and Monetary Policy Shocks in Emerging Countries: A Panel VAR Approach," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 11(6), pages 46-59.
    12. Mariia A. Elkina, 2021. "Financial Repression And Transmission Of Macroeconomic Shocks In A DSGE Model With Financial Frictions," HSE Working papers WP BRP 246/EC/2021, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    13. Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Matthews, Kent & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Xiao, Zhiguo, 2021. "Shadow banks, banking policies and China’s macroeconomic fluctuations," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    14. Chang, Chun & Liu, Zheng & Spiegel, Mark M. & Zhang, Jingyi, 2019. "Reserve requirements and optimal Chinese stabilization policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 33-51.
    15. Hongyi Chen & Michael Funke & Ivan Lozev & Andrew Tsang, 2020. "To Guide or Not to Guide? Quantitative Monetary Policy Tools and Macroeconomic Dynamics in China," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(5), pages 49-94, October.
    16. Damien Cubizol, 2017. "Rebalancing in China: a taxation approach," Working Papers 1732, Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique Lyon St-Etienne (GATE Lyon St-Etienne), Université de Lyon.
    17. Andrew Tsang, 2024. "Uncovering heterogeneous regional impacts of Chinese monetary policy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 67(3), pages 915-940, September.
    18. Jyh-Horng Lin & Shi Chen & Fu-Wei Huang, 2018. "Bank Interest Margin, Multiple Shadow Banking Activities, and Capital Regulation," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-20, July.
    19. Peng, Hongfeng & Zhang, Zhichao & Liang, Zimin, 2025. "How does liquidity regulation influence the effect of monetary policy transmission? A structural analysis based on the classified assets of chinese commercial banks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    20. Cubizol, Damien, 2018. "Transition and capital misallocation: the Chinese case," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 88-115.
    21. An, Ping & Yu, Mengxuan, 2018. "Neglected part of shadow banking in China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 211-236.
    22. Mirjalili, Seyed hossein & zarei, mehran & Esfandiari, Marzia, 2020. "بررسی تاثیر بانکداری سایه در اثربخشی سیاست پولی:شواهدی از برخی کشورهای G20 [The Impact of Shadow Banking on the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy: Evidence from G20 Countries]," MPRA Paper 125600, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 17 May 2021.
    23. Phuong Mai Le, Vo & Matthews, Kent & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Xiao, Zhiguo, 2022. "Regulatory arbitrage, shadow banking and monetary policy in China," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    24. Xu, Xiaoqing Eleanor, 2021. "Dissecting the segmentation of China's repo markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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