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Tastes, ability or expected wages? The intended choice of college majors by students in Italy

Author

Listed:
  • Giorgio Brunello
  • Francesco Campo
  • Elisabetta Lodigiani
  • Martina Miotto
  • Lorenzo Rocco

Abstract

We investigate the factors influencing the intended college major choices of high school students in Italy, ranking the relative importance of expected earnings, perceived ability, and major-specific tastes, that we measure directly using a Coller and Williams game. We find that major-specific tastes and self-assessed ability are significantly more influential in shaping academic intentions than mean expected earnings at age 30. We estimate that a one standard deviation change in the taste for (resp. perceived ability in) a given major increases the odds of choosing that major (relative to Humanities, our benchmark scenario) by 136.4% (resp. 114.1%), far outweighing the 39.3% increase associated with a one standard deviation change in mean expected earnings.

Suggested Citation

  • Giorgio Brunello & Francesco Campo & Elisabetta Lodigiani & Martina Miotto & Lorenzo Rocco, 2026. "Tastes, ability or expected wages? The intended choice of college majors by students in Italy," RFBerlin Discussion Paper Series 26055, ROCKWOOL Foundation Berlin (RFBerlin).
  • Handle: RePEc:crm:wpaper:26055
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    JEL classification:

    • I21 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Analysis of Education
    • I23 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Higher Education; Research Institutions

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