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Assessing available care time and nursing shortage in a hospital

Author

Listed:
  • Romain Biard

    (Université de Franche-Comté, CNRS, LmB, F-25000 Besançon, France)

  • Marc Deschamps

    (Université de Franche-Comté, CRESE, UR3190, F-25000 Besançon, France)

  • Mostapha Diss

    (Université de Franche-Comté, CRESE, UR3190, F-25000 Besançon, France)

  • Alexis Roussel

    (Université de Franche-Comté, CRESE, UR3190, F-25000 Besançon, France)

Abstract

Health is one of the main components of well-being and medical progress has enabled many people to live better lives than at any time in history. Moreover, since the second half of the 20th century, the right to health has been recognized as a human right by international law as well as by many national laws. Unfortunately for many years now - and the phenomenon has become even more acute since COVID-19 pandemic - there has been a worldwide shortage of healthcare workers. This is particularly true for nurses, especially in poor countries. The aim of the paper is to help assess the number of nurses needed to ensure both healthier care- givers and healthier patients. To achieve this goal, we propose a model with random arrivals and exits of patients who may be of a single type (or several), and calculate the average care time they can receive. The results are given in closed form when arrivals follow a Poisson probability distribution. We also propose an analysis of the impact of working conditions on the average time that can be devoted to a patient.

Suggested Citation

  • Romain Biard & Marc Deschamps & Mostapha Diss & Alexis Roussel, 2024. "Assessing available care time and nursing shortage in a hospital," Working Papers 2024-03, CRESE.
    • Handle: RePEc:crb:wpaper:2024-03
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Pierre Bernhard & Marc Deschamps, 2017. "On Dynamic Games with Randomly Arriving Players," Dynamic Games and Applications, Springer, vol. 7(3), pages 360-385, September.
    2. Scheffler, Richard M. & Arnold, Daniel R., 2019. "Projecting shortages and surpluses of doctors and nurses in the OECD: what looms ahead," Health Economics, Policy and Law, Cambridge University Press, vol. 14(2), pages 274-290, April.
    3. Pierre Bernhard & Marc Deschamps, 2021. "Dynamic Equilibrium with Randomly Arriving Players," Dynamic Games and Applications, Springer, vol. 11(2), pages 242-269, June.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Hospital; random arrivals; random exits; types of patients; available care time; nurses working conditions; Poisson distribution;
    All these keywords.

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